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Monetary transmission in Germany: Lessons for the Euro area

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Author Info
Kirstin Hubrich ()
Peter Vlaar ()

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Abstract

This study analyses the transmission of monetary policy in Germany for the EMS period in the framework of a structural vector error correction model (S-VECM).Three stable cointegration relationships are found: a money demand relation, an interest rate spread and a stationary real interest rate. Based on both contemporaneous and long-run restrictions, five structural shocks to the economy are identified. In contrast to analyses for the euro area, we find that output and inflation are not independent in the long run for Germany. In accordance with results previously found for Europe, we do not find strong support for monetary targeting for Germany. Our analysis indicates that uncertainties remain concerning the controllability of money and its usefulness as a leading indicator with respect to inflation. Stability of the money demand relationship does not seem to be problematic. Copyright Springer-Verlag 2004

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s00181-003-0174-4
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Springer in its journal Empirical Economics.

Volume (Year): 29 (2004)
Issue (Month): 2 (05)
Pages: 383-414
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Handle: RePEc:spr:empeco:v:29:y:2004:i:2:p:383-414

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Related research
Keywords: Monetary transmission; Germany; generalised common trends model;

Cited by:
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  1. Katrin Assenmacher-Wesche, 2008. "Modeling Monetary Transmission in Switzerland with a Structural Cointegrated VAR Model," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 144(II), pages 197-246, June. [Downloadable!]
  2. Annick Bruggeman & Marie Donnay, 2003. "A monthly monetary model with banking intermediation for the euro area," Working Paper Series 264, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  3. J.J.J. Groen, 2001. "(EURO) Exchange Rate Predictability and Monetary Fundamentals in a Small Multi-Country Panel," WO Research Memoranda (discontinued) 664, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
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