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La théorie de la décision et la psychologie du sens commun

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  • Mongin, Philippe

    (HEC Paris)

Abstract

Author's abstract. L'article compare philosophiquement la théorie mathématique de la décision individuelle, d'une part, et la conception psychologique ordinaire de l'action, du désir et de la croyance, d'autre part.Il délimite plus strictement son objet en étudiant, sous cet angle comparatif, le système de Savage et son concept technique de probabilité subjective, rapporté,comme chez Ramsey, au modèle élémentaire du pari. L'examen est scandé par trois thèses philosophiques: (i) la théorie de la décision n'est que la psychologie commune mise en langage formel (Lewis), (ii) la première améliore substantiellement la seconde, mais ne s'affranchit pas des limites caractéristiques de celle-ci, en particulier de son inaptitude à séparer empiriquement le désir et la croyance (Davidson), (iii)la première améliore substantiellement la seconde, et par les innovations qu'elle comporte, s'affranchit de certaines de ses limitations. On s'est donné pour but d'établir la thèse (iii)à la fois contre la thèse trop simple(i)et contre la thèse subtile(ii).

Suggested Citation

  • Mongin, Philippe, 2013. "La théorie de la décision et la psychologie du sens commun," HEC Research Papers Series 943, HEC Paris.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebg:heccah:0943
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Cohen, M. & Tallon, J.M., 1999. "Decision dans le risque et l'incertitude:l'apport des modeles non additifs," Papiers d'Economie Mathématique et Applications 1999.69, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1).
    2. Edi Karni & Philippe Mongin, 2000. "On the Determination of Subjective Probability by Choices," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 46(2), pages 233-248, February.
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    5. Rosenberg, Alexander, 1992. "Economics--Mathematical Politics or Science of Diminishing Returns?," University of Chicago Press Economics Books, University of Chicago Press, edition 1, number 9780226727233, September.
    6. Gilboa,Itzhak, 2009. "Theory of Decision under Uncertainty," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521741231.
    7. Philippe Mongin, 2002. "Le principe de rationalité et l'unité des sciences sociales," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 53(2), pages 301-323.
    8. Richard Bradley, 2007. "A Unified Bayesian Decision Theory," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 63(3), pages 233-263, November.
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    1. repec:hal:wpaper:halshs-01249632 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Dietrich, Franz & List, Christian, 2016. "Mentalism Versus Behaviourism In Economics: A Philosophy-Of-Science Perspective," Economics and Philosophy, Cambridge University Press, vol. 32(2), pages 249-281, July.
    3. Michaël Lainé, 2014. "Vers une alternative au paradigme de la rationalité ? Victoires et déboires du programme spinoziste en économie," Post-Print hal-01335618, HAL.
    4. Gilbert Giacomoni, 2012. "On the Origin of Abstraction : Real and Imaginary Parts of Decidability-Making," Post-Print hal-00750628, HAL.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    théorie de la décision; savage; ramsey; probabilité subjective; utilité dépendante des états; psychologie du sens commun; désir; croyance; lewis; davidson;
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