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A Reappraisal of the Allocation Puzzle through the Portfolio Approach

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Author Info
Kenza Benhima

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Abstract

The neoclassical growth model predicts that emerging countries with higher TFP growth should receive larger capital inflows. Gourinchas and Jeanne (2007) document that, in fact, countries that exhibited higher productivity catch-up received less capital inflows, even though they invested more in their domestic technology. This is the allocation puzzle. I show that introducing investment risk in the same neoclassical framework qualifies the predictions in terms of capital flows: countries with higher TFP growth invest more in their own production but they have to hold external bonds for precautionary savings motives. Contrary to the riskless approach, the portfolio approach predicts accurately the allocation of capital flows across developing countries.

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Paper provided by University of Paris West - Nanterre la Défense, EconomiX in its series EconomiX Working Papers with number 2008-27.

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Length: 47 pages
Date of creation: 2008
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Handle: RePEc:drm:wpaper:2008-27

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Related research
Keywords: Growth accounting; Capital flows; Investment risk; Financial globalization; Portfolio choice;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
O16 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment

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  1. Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas & Olivier Jeanne, 2006. "The Elusive Gains from International Financial Integration," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 73(3), pages 715-741, 07. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  19. George-Marios Angeletos & Vasia Panousi, 2007. "Revisiting the Supply-Side Effects of Government Spending Under Incomplete Markets," NBER Working Papers 13136, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  21. Michael Dooley & David Folkerts-Landau & Peter Garber, 2005. "Direct investment, rising real wages and the absorption of excess labor in the periphery," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Feb. [Downloadable!]
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  22. George-Marios Angeletos, 2007. "Uninsured Idiosyncratic Investment Risk and Aggregate Saving," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-30, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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    Other versions:
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