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Direct Investment, Rising Real Wages and the Absorption of Excess Labor in the Periphery

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Michael P. Dooley
David Folkerts-Landau
Peter Garber

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Abstract

This paper sets out the political economy behind Asian governments' participation in a revived Bretton Woods System. The overriding problem for these governments is to rapidly integrate a large pool of underemployed labor into the industrial sector. The principal constraints are inefficient domestic resource and capital markets, and resistance to import penetration by labor in industrial countries. The system has evolved to overcome these constraints through export led growth and growth of foreign direct investment. Periphery governments' objectives for the scale and composition of gross trade in goods and financial assets may dominate more conventional concerns about international capital flows.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 10626.

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Date of creation: Jul 2004
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:10626

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
F02 - International Economics - - General - - - International Economic Order; Noneconomic International Organizations;; Economic Integration and Globalization: General
F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements

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References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Devarajan, Shantayanan & Fisher, Anthony C, 1981. "Hotelling's "Economics of Exhaustible Resources": Fifty Years Later," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 19(1), pages 65-73, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Assaf Razin & Efraim Sadka, 2002. "Gains from FDI Inflows with Incomplete Information," NBER Working Papers 9008, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. Michele Cavallo & Cédric Tille, 2006. "Could capital gains smooth a current account rebalancing?," Working Paper Series 2006-03, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Bems, Rudolfs & Dedola, Luca & Smets, Frank, 2007. "US Imbalances: The Role of Technology and Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 6110, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Céline Rochon & Geneviève Verdier & Leslie Lipschitz, 2008. "A Real Model of Transitional Growth and Competitiveness in China," IMF Working Papers 08/99, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  4. Antoine Bouveret & Sana Mestiri & Henri Sterdyniak, 2006. "The renminbi equilibrium exchange rate: an agnostic view," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2006-13, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE). [Downloadable!]
  5. Hamid Faruqee & Douglas Laxton & Dirk Muir & Paolo Pesenti, 2006. "Would Protectionism Defuse Global Imbalances and Spur Economic Activity? A Scenario Analysis," NBER Working Papers 12704, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Robert C. Feenstra & Chang Hong, 2007. "China's Exports and Employment," NBER Working Papers 13552, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Morris Goldstein & Nicholas R. Lardy, 2005. "China's Role in the Revived Bretton Woods System: A Case of Mistaken Identity," Peterson Institute Working Paper Series WP05-2, Peterson Institute for International Economics. [Downloadable!]
  8. Rod Tyers & Yongxiang Bu & Ian Bain, 2006. "China’s Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate: A Counterfactual Analysis," ANUCBE School of Economics Working Papers 2006-466, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  9. Terry McKinley, 2006. "The monopoly of global capital flows: Who needs structural adjustment now?," Working Papers 12, International Poverty Centre. [Downloadable!]
  10. Thomas I. Palley, 2006. "THE FALLACY OF THE REVISED BRETTON WOODS HYPOTHESIS: Why TodayÕs International Financial System Is Unsustainable," Economics Public Policy Brief Archive ppb_85, Levy Economics Institute, The. [Downloadable!]
  11. Rod Tyers & Jane Golley & Bu Yongxiang & Ian Bain, 2006. "China's Economic Growth and its Real Exchange Rate," ANUCBE School of Economics Working Papers 2006-476, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  12. Barry Eichengreen, 2005. "Sterling's Past, Dollar's Future: Historical Perspectives on Reserve Currency Competition," NBER Working Papers 11336, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Michael Dooley & Peter Garber, 2005. "The revived Bretton Woods system: alive and well," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Feb. [Downloadable!]
  14. Nouriel Roubini & Brad Setser, 2005. "Will the Bretton Woods 2 regime unravel soon? the risk of a hard landing in 2005-2006," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Feb. [Downloadable!]
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