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Housing Market Dynamics and Regional Migration in Britain

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Author Info
Cameron, Gavin
Muellbauer, John
Murphy, Anthony

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Abstract

Economic conditions exert a strong influence on regional migration. On the one hand, strong labour market conditions, as exemplified by low unemployment rates and high earnings, draw migrants into regions. On the other hand, strong housing market conditions can prevent movement since expensive housing can deter migrants and commuting may often be an alternative. This can be thought of as giving rise to a migration equilibrium, where high house prices choke off migration caused by strong labour market conditions. Expected capital gains in housing and expected earnings growth however, can offset high levels of house prices, effects ignored in previous literature. Migration can also be influenced more directly by the availability of housing relative to population without this being mediated through prices. This paper presents evidence from a 28 year panel on net and gross migration for the regions of Britain that is broadly in accord with these expectations.

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Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 5832.

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Date of creation: Sep 2006
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:5832

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Related research
Keywords: contiguity; expected capital gains; Great Britain; house prices; regional migration; regional panel;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data
J19 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Other
R3 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - Production Analysis and Firm Location

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  1. repec:ese:iserwp: is not listed on IDEAS
  2. Helmut Rainer & Ian Smith, 2008. "Staying Together for the Sake of the Home? House Price Shocks and Partnership Dissolution in the UK," Discussion Paper Series, Department of Economics 0809, Department of Economics, University of St. Andrews. [Downloadable!]
  3. Overman, Henry G. & Rice, Patricia & Venables, Anthony J., 2008. "Economic Linkages Across Space," CEPR Discussion Papers 6786, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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