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On the 'Conquest' of Inflation

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  • Gerali, Andrea
  • Lippi, Francesco

Abstract

Sargent (1999) warns that if policy makers’ views on the unemployment-inflation trade-off are driven by empirical correlations, rather than theory, disinflations (escapes from high to low inflation) may periodically occur but are not bound to last. This Paper asks how different inflation objectives by the policy maker affect this result. We show that escapes in the neighborhood of zero inflation are less frequent and have a shorter duration, as policy objectives become more inflation averse. A sufficiently (but not infinitely) inflation averse policy maker never escapes Nash inflation and, on average, yields a lower inflation rate.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 3101.

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Date of creation: Dec 2001
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:3101

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Related research

Keywords: conservative bankers; disinflation; inflation bias; learning;

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References

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  1. Clarida, R. & Gali, J. & Gertler, M., 1998. "Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and some Theory," Working Papers 98-01, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University.
  2. Cukierman, A., 1996. "The Economics of Central Banking," Discussion Paper 1996-31, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
  3. Rogoff, Kenneth, 1985. "The Optimal Degree of Commitment to an Intermediate Monetary Target," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 100(4), pages 1169-89, November.
  4. Kydland, Finn E & Prescott, Edward C, 1977. "Rules Rather Than Discretion: The Inconsistency of Optimal Plans," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 85(3), pages 473-91, June.
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Cited by:
  1. Ellison, Martin & Graham, Liam & Vilmunen, Jouko, 2004. "Strong Contagion with Weak Spillovers," CEPR Discussion Papers 4762, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  2. Robert Tetlow & Peter von zur Muehlen, 2004. "Avoiding Nash Inflation: Bayesian and Robus Responses to Model Uncertainty," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 7(4), pages 869-899, October.
  3. Martin Ellison & Tony Yates, 2007. "Escaping Nash and volatile inflation," Bank of England working papers 330, Bank of England.
  4. Francesco Columba, 2003. "Transaction Technology Innovation and Demand for Overnight Deposits in Italy," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 468, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  5. Paolo Angelini & Paolo Del Giovane & Stefano Siviero & Daniele Terlizzese, 2002. "Monetary Policy Rules for the Euro Area: What Role for National Information?," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 457, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  6. Berardi, Michele, 2013. "Escape Dynamics And Policy Specification," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 17(01), pages 123-142, January.

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