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Monetary Policy Rules for the Euro Area: What Role for National Information?

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Author Info

  • Paolo Angelini

    ()
    (Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department)

  • Paolo Del Giovane

    (Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department)

  • Stefano Siviero

    (Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department)

  • Daniele Terlizzese

    (Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department)

Abstract

Using a simple multi-country econometric model covering the three main countries of the euro area, the paper focuses on the role that can be played by information at the national level in defining the monetary policy of the Union. We find that the performance of a central bank that chooses the nominal interest rate to minimize a standard quadratic loss function of area-wide inflation and output gap improves significantly if the reaction function includes national variables - as opposed to the case in which the interest rate reacts to area-wide variables only. Our results suggest that asymmetries within the euro area are relevant to the central bank; overall, we interpret them as making a case for exploiting the available national information in the conduct of the single monetary policy.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area in its series Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) with number 457.

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Date of creation: Dec 2002
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Handle: RePEc:bdi:wptemi:td_457_02

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Web page: http://www.bancaditalia.it
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Keywords: monetary policy rules; Eurosystem;

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References

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  1. Filippo Altissimo & Eugenio Gaiotti & Alberto Locarno, 2004. "Is money informative? Evidence from a large model used for policy analysis," Macroeconomics 0404018, EconWPA, revised 24 Apr 2004.
  2. Bonaccorsi di Patti, Emilia & Gobbi, Giorgio, 2001. "The changing structure of local credit markets: Are small businesses special?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(12), pages 2209-2237, December.
  3. Alberto Baffigi & Roberto Golinelli & Giuseppe Parigi, 2002. "Real-time GDP forecasting in the euro area," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 456, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  4. Piero Cipollone, 2001. "La convergenza dei salari manifatturieri in Europa," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 398, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  5. Andrea Gerali & Francesco Lippi, 2002. "On the 'conquest' of inflation," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 444, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  6. Domenica J. Marchetti, 1999. "Markup and the Business Cycle: Evidence from Italian Manufacturing Branches," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 362, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
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