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When Women’s Work Disappears: Marriage and Fertility Decisions in Peru

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Listed:
  • Hani Mansour
  • Pamela Medina
  • Andrea Velásquez

Abstract

This paper studies the gendered labor market and demographic effects of trade liberalization in Peru. To identify these effects, we use variation in the exposure of local labor markets to import competition from China based on their baseline industrial composition. On average, the increase in Chinese imports during 1998-2008 led to a persistent decline in the employment share of low-educated female workers but had smaller and transitory effects on the employment of low-educated men. In contrast to the predictions of Becker's model of household specialization, we find that the increase in import competition during this period increased the share of single low-educated people and decreased their marriage rates. There is little evidence that import com-petition affected fertility decisions. The results highlight the role of gains from joint consumption in marriage formation.

Suggested Citation

  • Hani Mansour & Pamela Medina & Andrea Velásquez, 2023. "When Women’s Work Disappears: Marriage and Fertility Decisions in Peru," CESifo Working Paper Series 10602, CESifo.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_10602
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    import competition; marriage formation; fertility;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J16 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of Gender; Non-labor Discrimination
    • J12 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Marriage; Marital Dissolution; Family Structure
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand

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