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Policy-Induced Mean Reversion in the Real Interest Rate? Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Zisimos Koustas () (Department of Economics, Brock University)
Jean-Francois Lamarche () (Department of Economics, Brock University)
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This paper utilizes tests for a unit root that have power against nonlinear alternatives to provide empirical evidence on the time series properties of the ex-post real interest rate in the G7 countries. We find that the unit root hypothesis can be rejected in the presence of a nonlinear alternative motivated by theoretical literature on optimal monetary policy rules. This represents a reversal of the results obtained using standard linear unit root and cointegration tests. Tests for linearity reject this hypothesis for Canada, France, Italy and Japan for which we estimate nonlinear models capturing the dynamics of the interest rate.
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Paper provided by Brock University, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number
0601.
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Length: 24 pages
Date of creation: Jul 2005Date of revision:
Feb 2006Handle: RePEc:brk:wpaper:0601Contact details of provider: Postal: 500 Glenridge Avenue, St. Catharines, Ontario, L2S 3A1 Phone: (905) 688-5550 3325 Fax: (905) 988-9388 Email: Web page: http://www.brocku.ca/economics/ More information through EDIRC
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its listing, contact: (Jean-Francois Lamarche).
Keywords: Fisher Effect ; Unit Roots ; Self-Exciting Threshold Autoregression ; Other versions of this item:
Find related papers by JEL classification: E40 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - General E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
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