This file is part of IDEAS , which uses RePEc data
[ Papers |
Articles |
Software |
Books |
Chapters |
Authors |
Institutions |
JEL Classification |
NEP reports |
Search |
New papers by email |
Author registration |
Rankings |
Volunteers |
FAQ |
Blog |
Help! ]
Testing Long-Run Purchasing Power Parity under Exchange Rate Targeting Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Sophocles N. Brissimis () (Bank of Greece, Economic Research Department and University of Piraeus)
Dimitris A. Sideris (Bank of Greece and University of Ioannina)
Fragiska K. Voumvaki (National Bank of Greece and Athens University of Economics and Business)
Additional information is available for the following
registered author(s):
The present paper exploits the idea that empirical estimates of the long-run PPP relationship may compound two distinct influences coming from the behavior of market participants and policy makers when the latter are targeting the exchange rate. This tends to bias tests of long-run PPP against its acceptance. The validity of the theoretical arguments is assessed by drawing on the experience of two European Union countries, Greece and France for the post-Bretton Woods period. Estimation biases due to the omission of policy effects are found to be significant only in the case of Greece. For France, our test results provide evidence bearing on the effectiveness of the competitive disinflation strategy pursued by the French authorities.
To download:
If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the
proper application to
view it first. Information about this may be contained
in the File-Format links below. In case of further problems read
the IDEAS help
page . Note that these files are not on the IDEAS
site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
Paper provided by Bank of Greece in its series Working Papers with number
15.
Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML
(with abstract ),
plain text
(with abstract ),
BibTeX ,
RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite),
ReDIF
Length: 38 pages
Date of creation: Jul 2004Date of revision:
Publication status: Published in Journal of Money and Finance, 2005, 24 (6), pp. 959-981Handle: RePEc:bog:wpaper:15Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.bankofgreece.gr More information through EDIRC
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its listing, contact: (Christina Tsochatzi).
Keywords: Long-run PPP ; exchange rate targeting ; intervention policy ; multivariate cointegration ; Other versions of this item:
Find related papers by JEL classification: C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
O'Connell, Paul G. J., 1998.
"The overvaluation of purchasing power parity ,"
Journal of International Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 1-19, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Mark P. Taylor & Ronald MacDonald, 1991.
"Exchange Rate Economics: A Survey ,"
IMF Working Papers
91/62, International Monetary Fund.
Kuo, Biing-Shen & Mikkola, Anne, 1999.
"Re-examining long-run purchasing power parity ,"
Journal of International Money and Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 251-266, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Fleissig, Adrian R. & Strauss, Jack, 2000.
"Panel unit root tests of purchasing power parity for price indices ,"
Journal of International Money and Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 489-506, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Lucio Sarno & Mark P. Taylor, 2001.
"Official Intervention in the Foreign Exchange Market: Is It Effective and, If So, How Does It Work? ,"
Journal of Economic Literature ,
American Economic Association, vol. 39(3), pages 839-868, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Cheung, Yin-Wong & Lai, Kon S., 2001.
"Long memory and nonlinear mean reversion in Japanese yen-based real exchange rates ,"
Journal of International Money and Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 115-132, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Johansen, Soren & Juselius, Katarina, 1990.
"Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration--With Applications to the Demand for Money ,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics ,
Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 52(2), pages 169-210, May.
Sercu, Piet & Uppal, Raman & Van Hulle, Cynthia, 1995.
" The Exchange Rate in the Presence of Transaction Costs: Implications for Tests of Purchasing Power Parity ,"
Journal of Finance ,
American Finance Association, vol. 50(4), pages 1309-19, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Urbain, Jean-Pierre, 1995.
"Partial versus full system modelling of cointegrated systems an empirical illustration ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 69(1), pages 177-210, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Michael, Panos & Nobay, A Robert & Peel, David A, 1997.
"Transactions Costs and Nonlinear Adjustment in Real Exchange Rates: An Empirical Investigation ,"
Journal of Political Economy ,
University of Chicago Press, vol. 105(4), pages 862-79, August.
Michael B. Devereux, 1997.
"Real Exchange Rates and Macroeconomics: Evidence and Theory ,"
Canadian Journal of Economics ,
Canadian Economics Association, vol. 30(4), pages 773-808, November.
Michael, Panos & Nobay, A Robert & Peel, David, 1994.
"Purchasing power parity yet again: evidence from spatially separated commodity markets ,"
Journal of International Money and Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 13(6), pages 637-657, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Kenneth A. Froot & Kenneth Rogoff, 1996.
"Perspectives on PPP and Long-Run Real Exchange Rates ,"
NBER Working Papers
4952, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Enrica Detragiache & A. Javier Hamann, 1997.
"Exchange Rate-Based Stabilization in Western Europe - Greece, Ireland, Italy and Portugal ,"
IMF Working Papers
97/75, International Monetary Fund.
Other versions: Abuaf, Niso & Jorion, Philippe, 1990.
" Purchasing Power Parity in the Long Run ,"
Journal of Finance ,
American Finance Association, vol. 45(1), pages 157-74, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Olekalns, Nilss & Wilkins, Nigel, 1998.
"Re-examining the Evidence for Long-Run Purchasing Power Parity ,"
The Economic Record ,
The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 74(224), pages 54-61, March.
Ardeni, Pier Giorgio & Lubian, Diego, 1991.
"Is there trend reversion in purchasing power parity? ,"
European Economic Review ,
Elsevier, vol. 35(5), pages 1035-1055, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cheung, Yin-Wong & Lai, Kon S., 1999.
"On Cross-Country Differences in the Persistence of Real Exchange Rates ,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Kenneth Rogoff, 1996.
"The Purchasing Power Parity Puzzle ,"
Journal of Economic Literature ,
American Economic Association, vol. 34(2), pages 647-668, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Francesco Caramazza, 1993.
"French-German Interest Rate Differentials and Time-Varying Realignment Risk ,"
IMF Working Papers
93/1, International Monetary Fund.
Cheung, Yin-Wong & Lai, Kon S., 1998.
"Parity reversion in real exchange rates during the post-Bretton Woods period ,"
Journal of International Money and Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 597-614, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
McCallum, Bennett T., 1994.
"A reconsideration of the uncovered interest parity relationship ,"
Journal of Monetary Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 105-132, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Juselius, Katarina, 1995.
"Do purchasing power parity and uncovered interest rate parity hold in the long run? An example of likelihood inference in a multivariate time-series model ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 69(1), pages 211-240, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Jorion, Philippe & Sweeney, Richard J., 1996.
"Mean reversion in real exchange rates: evidence and implications for forecasting ,"
Journal of International Money and Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 535-550, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Pippenger, Michael & Geppert, John M, 1997.
"Testing Purchasing Power Parity in the Presence of Transaction Costs ,"
Applied Economics Letters ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 4(10), pages 611-14, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Lothian, James R., 1997.
"Multi-country evidence on the behavior of purchasing power parity under the current float ,"
Journal of International Money and Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 19-35, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Mark P. Taylor, 2003.
"Purchasing Power Parity ,"
Review of International Economics ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 11(3), pages 436-452, 08.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Engel, Charles, 2000.
"Long-run PPP may not hold after all ,"
Journal of International Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 243-273, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Engel, C., 1996.
"Long-Run PPP May Not Hold After All ,"
Discussion Papers in Economics at the University of Washington
96-05, Department of Economics at the University of Washington.
Charles Engel, 1998.
"Long-Run PPP May Not Hold After All ,"
Working Papers
0050, University of Washington, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Charles Engel, 1998.
"Long-Run PPP May Not Hold After All ,"
Discussion Papers in Economics at the University of Washington
0050, Department of Economics at the University of Washington.
[Downloadable!] Charles Engel, 1996.
"Long-Run PPP May Not Hold After All ,"
NBER Working Papers
5646, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Engel, C., 1996.
"Long-Run PPP May Not Hold After All ,"
Working Papers
96-05, University of Washington, Department of Economics.
Ronald MacDonald, 1995.
"Long-Run Exchange Rate Modeling - A Survey of the Recent Evidence ,"
IMF Working Papers
95/14, International Monetary Fund.
Johansen, Soren, 1992.
"Cointegration in partial systems and the efficiency of single-equation analysis ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 52(3), pages 389-402, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cheung, Yin-Wong & Lai, Kon S., 1993.
"Long-run purchasing power parity during the recent float ,"
Journal of International Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 34(1-2), pages 181-192, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Taylor, Mark P. & Peel, David A., 2000.
"Nonlinear adjustment, long-run equilibrium and exchange rate fundamentals ,"
Journal of International Money and Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 33-53, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Taylor, Mark P. & Sarno, Lucio, 1998.
"The behavior of real exchange rates during the post-Bretton Woods period ,"
Journal of International Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 281-312, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Frankel, Jeffrey A. & Rose, Andrew K., 1996.
"A panel project on purchasing power parity: Mean reversion within and between countries ,"
Journal of International Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 40(1-2), pages 209-224, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Jeffrey A. Frankel & Andrew K. Rose, 1995.
"A Panel Project on Purchasing Power Parity: Mean Reversion Within and Between Countries ,"
NBER Working Papers
5006, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Jeffrey A. Frankel and Andrew K. Rose., 1995.
"A Panel Project on Purchasing Power Parity: Mean Reversion Within and Between Countries ,"
Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers
C95-052, University of California at Berkeley.
Frankel, Jeffrey A & Rose, Andrew K, 1995.
"A Panel Project on Purchasing Power Parity: Mean Reversion Within and Between Countries ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
1128, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Christopher F. Baum & Mustafa Caglayan & John Barkoulas, 1998.
"Nonlinear Adjustment to Purchasing Power Parity in the post-Bretton Woods Era ,"
Boston College Working Papers in Economics
404., Boston College Department of Economics, revised 16 Nov 1999.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Lothian, James R. & Taylor, Mark P., 1997.
"Real exchange rate behavior ,"
Journal of International Money and Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 16(6), pages 945-954, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cuddington, John T. & Liang, Hong, 2000.
"Purchasing power parity over two centuries? ,"
Journal of International Money and Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 19(5), pages 753-757, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Christopher J. Neely, 2000.
"Are changes in foreign exchange reserves well correlated with official intervention? ,"
Review ,
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Sep, pages 17-32.
[Downloadable!]
Papell, David H. & Theodoridis, Hristos, 1998.
"Increasing evidence of purchasing power parity over the current float ,"
Journal of International Money and Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 41-50, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Gonzalo, Jesus, 1994.
"Five alternative methods of estimating long-run equilibrium relationships ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 60(1-2), pages 203-233.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Papell, David H., 1997.
"Searching for stationarity: Purchasing power parity under the current float ,"
Journal of International Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 43(3-4), pages 313-332, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Clements, Michael P. & Mizon, Grayham E., 1991.
"Empirical analysis of macroeconomic time series : VAR and structural models ,"
European Economic Review ,
Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 887-917, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Davidson, James E H, et al, 1978.
"Econometric Modelling of the Aggregate Time-Series Relationship between Consumers' Expenditure and Income in the United Kingdom ,"
Economic Journal ,
Royal Economic Society, vol. 88(352), pages 661-92, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Clements, Michael P & Hendry, David F, 1995.
"Macro-economic Forecasting and Modelling ,"
Economic Journal ,
Royal Economic Society, vol. 105(431), pages 1001-13, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Mark, Nelson C., 1990.
"Real and nominal exchange rates in the long run: An empirical investigation ,"
Journal of International Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 28(1-2), pages 115-136, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
repec:pal:imfstp:v:46:y:1999:i:1:p:5 is not listed on IDEAS
Other versions: Banerjee, A & Hendry, D-F & Mizon, G-E, 1996.
"The Econometric Analysis of Economic Policy ,"
Economics Working Papers
eco96/34, European University Institute.
Other versions:
Banerjee, Anindya & Hendry, David F & Mizon, Grayham E, 1996.
"The Econometric Analysis of Economic Policy ,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics ,
Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 58(4), pages 573-600, November.
Lothian, James R & Taylor, Mark P, 1996.
"Real Exchange Rate Behavior: The Recent Float from the Perspective of the Past Two Centuries ,"
Journal of Political Economy ,
University of Chicago Press, vol. 104(3), pages 488-509, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Johansen, Soren, 1988.
"Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors ,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control ,
Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Full
references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
Katja Funke & Isabell Koske, 2008.
"Does the Law of One Price Hold within the EU? A Panel Analysis ,"
International Advances in Economic Research ,
Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 11-24, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Eleni Angelopoulou, 2005.
"The Comparative Performance of Q-type and Dynamic Models of Firm Investment: Empirical Evidence from the UK ,"
Working Papers
27, Bank of Greece.
[Downloadable!]
Dimitrios A. Sideris, 2007.
"Foreign Exchange Intervention and Equilibrium Real Exchange Rates ,"
Working Papers
56, Bank of Greece.
[Downloadable!]
Sven W. Arndt, 2006.
"Regional Currency Arrangements in North America ,"
Working Papers
40, Bank of Greece.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: George S. Tavlas & P.A.V.B. Swamy, 2006.
"The New Keynesian Phillips Curve and Inflation Expectations: Re-Specification and Interpretation ,"
Working Papers
34, Bank of Greece.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Hans Genberg, 2006.
"Exchange-Rate Arrangements and Financial Integration in East Asia: On a Collision Course? ,"
Working Papers
41, Bank of Greece.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Hans Genberg, 2006.
"Exchange-Rate Arrangements and Financial Integration in East Asia: On a Collision Course? ,"
Working Papers
122, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
[Downloadable!] Hans Genberg, 2006.
"Exchange-Rate Arrangements and Financial Integration in East Asia: On a Collision Course? ,"
Working Papers
152006, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
[Downloadable!] Hans Genberg, 2006.
"Exchange-rate arrangements and financial integration in East Asia: on a collision course? ,"
International Economics and Economic Policy ,
Springer, vol. 3(3), pages 359-377, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Heather Gibson & Jim Malley, 2008.
"The Contribution of Sectoral Productivity Differentials to Inflation in Greece ,"
Open Economies Review ,
Springer, vol. 19(5), pages 629-650, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Nikolaos Mylonidis & Dimitrios Sideris, 2008.
"Home bias and purchasing power parity: evidence from the G-7 countries ,"
International Journal of Finance & Economics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 13(2), pages 199-204.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Dimitrios Sideris, 2008.
"Real Exchange Rates over a Century: The Case of the Drachma/Sterling Rate, 1833-1939 ,"
Working Papers
66, Bank of Greece.
[Downloadable!]
Access and
download statistics Did you know? You can include your works in the database easily by uploading them on the Munich Personal RePEc Archive (MPRA) if you do not have access to an institutional RePEc archive.
This page was last updated on 2009-11-25.
This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Department of Economics , College of Liberal Arts and Sciences , University of Connecticut using RePEc data on a server sponsored by the Society for Economic Dynamics .