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Exchange Rate-Based Stabilization in Western Europe: Greece, Ireland, Italy and Portugal

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  • Ms. Enrica Detragiache
  • Mr. A. J Hamann

Abstract

This paper compares the experience with exchange-rate–based stabilization (ERBS) of four Western European countries with that of high-inflation developing countries. In general, the behavior of key macroeconomic variables—inflation, output, demand, the real exchange rate and the current account—in the four countries examined did not correspond to the pattern observed in developing countries, although some resemblance to this pattern could be found in Italy in 1987–92 and Greece in 1994–96. The experience with ERBS in Western Europe highlights the importance of incomes policy as an ingredient of a successful stabilization program and shows that the adoption of a looser anchor does not necessarily reduce the output cost of disinflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Ms. Enrica Detragiache & Mr. A. J Hamann, 1997. "Exchange Rate-Based Stabilization in Western Europe: Greece, Ireland, Italy and Portugal," IMF Working Papers 1997/075, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:1997/075
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ades, Alberto F. & Kiguel, Miguel & Liviatan, Nissan, 1993. "Exchange rate based stabilization : tales from Europe and Latin America," Policy Research Working Paper Series 1087, The World Bank.
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    6. Calvo, Guillermo A, 1986. "Temporary Stabilization: Predetermined Exchange Rates," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 94(6), pages 1319-1329, December.
    7. Rodriguez, Carlos Alfredo, 1982. "The Argentine stabilization plan of December 20th," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 10(9), pages 801-811, September.
    8. Hafer, R. W. & Kutan, Ali M. & Su Zhou, 1997. "Linkage in EMS term structures: evidence from common trend and transitory components," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(4), pages 595-607, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Burcu Aydin, 2008. "Banking Structure and Credit Growth in Central and Eastern European Countries," IMF Working Papers 2008/215, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Maria Silva & Joaquim Andrade & Thomas Torrance, 2000. "Fundamentals versus external shocks: Brazil's growing exposure to currency crises," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 6(2), pages 192-209, May.
    3. Brissimis, Sophocles N. & Sideris, Dimitris A. & Voumvaki, Fragiska K., 2005. "Testing long-run purchasing power parity under exchange rate targeting," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(6), pages 959-981, October.
    4. Istvan Konya & Peter Benczur, 2005. "Real Effects of Nominal Exchange Rate Shocks," 2005 Meeting Papers 51, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    5. Eiji Fuji & Jeannine Bailliu, 2004. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through and the Inflation Environment in Industrialized Countries: An Empirical Investigation," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 135, Society for Computational Economics.
    6. Darvas, Zsolt & Szapáry, György, 1999. "A nemzetközi pénzügyi válságok tovaterjedése különböző árfolyamrendszerekben [The spread of international financial crises under various exchange-rate systems]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(11), pages 945-968.
    7. Constantina Kottaridi & Mendez-Carbajo Diego & D. Thomakos Dimitrios, 2009. "Inflation Dynamics and the Cross-Sectional Distribution of Prices in the E.U. Periphery," Springer Books, in: Takashi Kamihigashi & Laixun Zhao (ed.), International Trade and Economic Dynamics, pages 449-475, Springer.
    8. Ozlem Aytac, 2008. "A Model of Exchange-Rate-Based Stabilization for Turkey," Caepr Working Papers 2008-001, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Economics Department, Indiana University Bloomington.
    9. Ozlem Aytac, 2008. "A Model of Exchange-Rate-Based Stabilization for Turkey," CAEPR Working Papers 2008-001, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
    10. Gerdesmeier, Dieter & Roffia, Barbara & Eleftheriou, Maria, 2006. "Monetary policy rules in the pre-EMU era: Is there a common rule?," Working Paper Series 659, European Central Bank.
    11. Mr. Ashoka Mody & Ms. Franziska L Ohnsorge, 2007. "Can Domestic Policies Influence Inflation?," IMF Working Papers 2007/257, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Jose Giancarlo Gasha & Mr. Gonzalo C Pastor Campos, 2004. "Angola’s Fragile Stabilization," IMF Working Papers 2004/083, International Monetary Fund.
    13. Kerim Peren Arin & Timur Han Gur, 2009. "Exchange rate versus monetary aggregate targeting: the Turkish case," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(16), pages 2085-2092.
    14. repec:rim:rimwps:43-07 is not listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    WP; exchange rate; current account; inflation stabilization; stabilization program; Western Europe; inflation differential; Irish pound; inflation country; Inflation; Exchange rates; Real exchange rates; Fiscal consolidation; Disinflation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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