IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/afa/wpaper/aesri-2021-04.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Kenya: An Empirical Investigation

Author

Listed:
  • N.M. Odhiambo

    (University of South Africa)

Abstract

In this paper, the casual relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) and economic growth in Kenya during the period 1980-2018 is examined. In an attempt to address the omission-of-variable bias, which has been detected in some previous studies, two variables, namely money supply and trade, are used as intermittent variables, thereby leading to a system of multivariate Granger-causality equations. Using the ARDL bounds testing approach, the results show that there is a unidirectional causal flow from economic growth to FDI in Kenya. These results apply, irrespective of whether the causality is conducted in the short run or in the long run. Based on these results, it can be concluded that the current burgeoning FDI inflows that Kenya has attracted in recent years are largely driven by the strong economic growth and prudent macroeconomic policies that the country has been pursuing in recent decades. To our knowledge, this may be the first study of its kind to examine in detail the causal relationship between FDI and economic growth in Kenya in recent years. Policy implications are discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • N.M. Odhiambo, 2021. "Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Kenya: An Empirical Investigation," Working Papers AESRI-2021-04, African Economic and Social Research Institute (AESRI), revised Jan 2021.
  • Handle: RePEc:afa:wpaper:aesri-2021-04
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://aeri.co.za/RePEc/afa/afa-wpaper/AESRIWP04.pdf
    File Function: Revised version, 2021
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sunde, Tafirenyika, 2017. "Foreign direct investment, exports and economic growth: ADRL and causality analysis for South Africa," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 434-444.
    2. Mousumi Duttaray & Amitava Dutt & Kajal Mukhopadhyay, 2008. "Foreign direct investment and economic growth in less developed countries: an empirical study of causality and mechanisms," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(15), pages 1927-1939.
    3. Eldin Mehic & Sabina Silajdzic & Vesna Babic-Hodovic, 2013. "The Impact of FDI on Economic Growth: Some Evidence from Southeast Europe," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(S1), pages 5-20, January.
    4. Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2021. "Energy consumption and economic growth in Botswana: empirical evidence from a disaggregated data," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(1), pages 3-24, January.
    5. Edmore E Mahembe & Nicholas M Odhiambo, 2016. "Does foreign direct investment cause economic growth? A dynamic panel data analysis for SADC countries," International Journal of Emerging Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 11(3), pages 316-332, July.
    6. Hsiao, Frank S.T. & Hsiao, Mei-Chu W., 2006. "FDI, exports, and GDP in East and Southeast Asia--Panel data versus time-series causality analyses," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(6), pages 1082-1106, December.
    7. Odhiambo, Nicholas M., 2009. "Finance-growth-poverty nexus in South Africa: A dynamic causality linkage," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 320-325, March.
    8. Changwen Zhao & Jiang Du, 2007. "Causality Between FDI and Economic Growth in China," Chinese Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(6), pages 68-82, November.
    9. Diego Escobari & Diego E. Vacaflores, 2015. "Expectations and the Dynamic Feedback between Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1), pages 121-136, March.
    10. Quah, Danny, 1993. "Empirical cross-section dynamics in economic growth," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 37(2-3), pages 426-434, April.
    11. Jai Sheen Mah, 2010. "Foreign Direct Investment Inflows and Economic Growth: The Case of Korea," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(4), pages 726-735, November.
    12. Victor Owusu-Nantwi & Christopher Erickson, 2019. "Foreign direct investment and economic growth in South America," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 46(2), pages 383-398, March.
    13. Caselli, Francesco & Esquivel, Gerardo & Lefort, Fernando, 1996. "Reopening the Convergence Debate: A New Look at Cross-Country Growth Empirics," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 1(3), pages 363-389, September.
    14. Oh, Wankeun & Lee, Kihoon, 2004. "Energy consumption and economic growth in Korea: testing the causality relation," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 26(8-9), pages 973-981, December.
    15. Asongu, Simplice A. & Odhiambo, Nicholas M., 2020. "Foreign direct investment, information technology and economic growth dynamics in Sub-Saharan Africa," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(1).
    16. Bengoa, Marta & Sanchez-Robles, Blanca, 2003. "Foreign direct investment, economic freedom and growth: new evidence from Latin America," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 529-545, September.
    17. Odhiambo, Nicholas M., 2008. "Financial depth, savings and economic growth in Kenya: A dynamic causal linkage," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 704-713, July.
    18. Sajid Anwar & Lan Phi Nguyen, 2010. "Foreign direct investment and economic growth in Vietnam," Asia Pacific Business Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(1-2), pages 183-202, April.
    19. Odhiambo, Nicholas M., 2010. "Energy consumption, prices and economic growth in three SSA countries: A comparative study," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(5), pages 2463-2469, May.
    20. Priya Gupta & Archana Singh, 2016. "Causal nexus between foreign direct investment and economic growth," Journal of Advances in Management Research, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13(2), pages 179-202, August.
    21. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Smyth, Russell, 2008. "Energy consumption and real GDP in G7 countries: New evidence from panel cointegration with structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(5), pages 2331-2341, September.
    22. Nicholas Apergis & Katerina Lyroudi & Athanasios Vamvakidis, 2008. "The relationship between foreign direct investment and economic growth: evidence from transition countries," Transition Studies Review, Springer;Central Eastern European University Network (CEEUN), vol. 15(1), pages 37-51, July.
    23. William Akoto, 2016. "On the Nature of the Causal Relationships Between Foreign Direct Investment, GDP and Exports in South Africa," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 112-126, January.
    24. John Nkwoma Inekwe, 2013. "FDI, Employment and Economic Growth in Nigeria," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 25(4), pages 421-433.
    25. Ronald Findlay, 1978. "Relative Backwardness, Direct Foreign Investment, and the Transfer of Technology: A Simple Dynamic Model," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 92(1), pages 1-16.
    26. Balamurali, N. & Bogahawatte, C., 2004. "Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Sri Lanka," Sri Lankan Journal of Agricultural Economics, Sri Lanka Agricultural Economics Association (SAEA), vol. 6, pages 1-15.
    27. Xiaohui Liu & Peter Burridge & P. J. N. Sinclair, 2002. "Relationships between economic growth, foreign direct investment and trade: evidence from China," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(11), pages 1433-1440.
    28. Chew Ging Lee, 2009. "Foreign direct investment, pollution and economic growth: evidence from Malaysia," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(13), pages 1709-1716.
    29. Belloumi, Mounir, 2014. "The relationship between trade, FDI and economic growth in Tunisia: An application of the autoregressive distributed lag model," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 269-287.
    30. Abdur Chowdhury & George Mavrotas, 2005. "FDI and Growth: a Causal Relationship," WIDER Working Paper Series RP2005-25, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    31. Seng Sothan, 2017. "Causality between foreign direct investment and economic growth for Cambodia," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1277860-127, January.
    32. Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2011. "Growth, Employment and Poverty in South Africa: In Search of a Trickle-Down Effect," Journal of Income Distribution, Ad libros publications inc., vol. 20(1), pages 49-62, March.
    33. Iamsiraroj, Sasi, 2016. "The foreign direct investment–economic growth nexus," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 116-133.
    34. Chakraborty, Chandana & Nunnenkamp, Peter, 2008. "Economic Reforms, FDI, and Economic Growth in India: A Sector Level Analysis," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 36(7), pages 1192-1212, July.
    35. Teame Ghirmay, 2004. "Financial Development and Economic Growth in Sub‐Saharan African Countries: Evidence from Time Series Analysis," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 16(3), pages 415-432.
    36. Mah, Jai S., 2010. "Foreign direct investment inflows and economic growth of China," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 155-158, January.
    37. Farayi Gwenhamo, 2011. "Foreign Direct Investment In Zimbabwe: The Role Of Institutional And Macroeconomic Factors," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 79(3), pages 211-223, September.
    38. Md Reza Sultanuzzaman & Hongzhong Fan & Mahamud Akash & Banban Wang & Uddin Sarker Md Shakij, 2018. "The role of FDI inflows and export on economic growth in Sri Lanka: An ARDL approach," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(1), pages 1518116-151, January.
    39. Melisa Chanegriha & Chris Stewart & Christopher Tsoukis, 2020. "Testing for causality between FDI and economic growth using heterogeneous panel data," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(5), pages 546-565, July.
    40. Hiranya K Nath, 2009. "Trade, Foreign Direct Investment, and Growth: Evidence from Transition Economies," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 51(1), pages 20-50, March.
    41. Tekin, Rıfat Barış, 2012. "Economic growth, exports and foreign direct investment in Least Developed Countries: A panel Granger causality analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 868-878.
    42. Chew-Ging Lee, 2009. "Outward Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth: Evidence from Japan and Singapore," NUBS Malaysia Campus Research Paper Series 2009-02, Nottingham University Business School Malaysia Campus.
    43. Magnus Blomstrom & Robert E. Lipsey & Mario Zejan, 1992. "What Explains Developing Country Growth?," NBER Working Papers 4132, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    44. Sumei Tang & E. A. Selvanathan & S. Selvanathan, 2008. "Foreign Direct Investment, Domestic Investment and Economic Growth in China: A Time Series Analysis," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(10), pages 1292-1309, October.
    45. Chew Ging Lee, 2010. "Outward Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth: Evidence from Japan," Global Economic Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(3), pages 317-326.
    46. Majid Mahmoodi & Elahe Mahmoodi, 2016. "Foreign direct investment, exports and economic growth: evidence from two panels of developing countries," Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1), pages 938-949, January.
    47. Paresh Kumar Narayan & Russell Smyth, 2006. "Higher Education, Real Income and Real Investment in China: Evidence From Granger Causality Tests," Education Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(1), pages 107-125.
    48. Debashis Chakraborty & Jaydeep Mukherjee, 2012. "Is There Any Relationship Between Foreign Direct Investment, Domestic Investment and Economic Growth in India? A Time Series Analysis," Review of Market Integration, India Development Foundation, vol. 4(3), pages 309-337, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2022. "Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Kenya: An Empirical Investigation," International Journal of Public Administration, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(8), pages 620-631, June.
    2. Rudra P. Pradhan & Mak B. Arvin & John H. Hall, 2019. "The Nexus Between Economic Growth, Stock Market Depth, Trade Openness, And Foreign Direct Investment: The Case Of Asean Countries," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 64(03), pages 461-493, June.
    3. Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2022. "Does Foreign Direct Investment Spur Economic Growth? New Empirical Evidence From Sub-Saharan African Countries," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 67(233), pages 61-84, April – J.
    4. Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2022. "Does Foreign Direct Investment Spur Economic Growth? New Empirical Evidence From Sub-Saharan African Countries," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 67(233), pages 61-84, April – J.
    5. N.M. Odhiambo, 2022. "Does Foreign Direct Investment Spur Economic Growth? New Empirical Evidence from Sub-Saharan African Countries," Working Papers AESRI-2022-20, African Economic and Social Research Institute (AESRI), revised Jul 2022.
    6. Nicholas Odhiambo, 2014. "Energy Dependence in Developing Countries: Does the Level of Income Matter?," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 42(1), pages 65-77, March.
    7. Sheilla Nyasha Author-Name: Yvonne Gwenhure & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2017. "Poverty and Economic Growth in Ethiopia: A Multivariate Causal Linkage," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 51(1), pages 343-359, January-M.
    8. Rudra P. Pradhan, Mak B. Arvin, & Mahendhiran Nair, Jay Mittal, & Neville R. Norman, 2017. "Telecommunications infrastructure and usage and the FDI–growth nexus: evidence from Asian-21 countries "Abstract: This paper examines causal relationships between telecommunications infrastructur," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 2032, The University of Melbourne.
    9. Odhiambo, Nicholas M., 2010. "Energy consumption, prices and economic growth in three SSA countries: A comparative study," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(5), pages 2463-2469, May.
    10. Udi Joshua & Mathew Ekundayo Rotimi & Samuel Asumadu Sarkodie, 2020. "Global FDI Inflow and Its Implication across Economic Income Groups," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-15, November.
    11. Rashid Latief & Lin Lefen, 2019. "Foreign Direct Investment in the Power and Energy Sector, Energy Consumption, and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-21, January.
    12. Magazzino, Cosimo & Mele, Marco, 2022. "Can a change in FDI accelerate GDP growth? Time-series and ANNs evidence on Malta," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
    13. Syed Ali Raza & Mohd Zaini Abd Karim, 2018. "Influence of Systemic Banking Crises and Currency Crises on the FDI-Growth Nexus: Evidence from China," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 19(3), pages 572-589, June.
    14. Verónica Cañal-Fernández & Julio Tascón Fernández, 2018. "The long run impact of foreign direct investment, exports, imports and GDP: evidence for Spain from an ARDL approach," Working Papers 0128, European Historical Economics Society (EHES).
    15. Udi Joshua & Festus V. Bekun & Samuel A. Sarkodie, 2020. "New Insight into the Causal Linkage between Economic Expansion, FDI, Coal consumption, Pollutant emissions and Urbanization in South Africa," Working Papers 20/011, European Xtramile Centre of African Studies (EXCAS).
    16. Mohamed Abdouli & Sami Hammami, 2017. "The Impact of FDI Inflows and Environmental Quality on Economic Growth: an Empirical Study for the MENA Countries," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 8(1), pages 254-278, March.
    17. Odhiambo, Nicholas M, 2020. "Energy consumption and economic growth in Botswana: Empirical evidence from disaggregated data analysis," Working Papers 27659, University of South Africa, Department of Economics.
    18. Nicholas M Odhiambo, 2016. "Coal consumption and economic growth in South Africa: An empirical investigation," Energy & Environment, , vol. 27(2), pages 215-226, March.
    19. Belloumi, Mounir, 2014. "The relationship between trade, FDI and economic growth in Tunisia: An application of the autoregressive distributed lag model," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 269-287.
    20. Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2021. "Energy consumption and economic growth in Botswana: empirical evidence from a disaggregated data," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(1), pages 3-24, January.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:afa:wpaper:aesri-2021-04. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Prof Nicholas M Odhiambo (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://aeri.co.za .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.