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An Examination of the Asian Crisis: Regime Shifts in Currency and Equity Markets

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Author Info
Jarl G. Kallberg (Stern School of Business, New York University)
Paolo Pasquariello (Ross School of Business, University of Michigan)

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Abstract

Using a nonparametric technique for the identification of regime shifts, we find breaks in the structural relations between currency and equity returns and return volatility in Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, South Korea, Taiwan, and Thailand during the recent Asian crisis. Volatility breaks occurred in late 1994 and 1997, while return breaks were concentrated in early 1998. After the estimated breaks, many Asian equity markets became more responsive to the volatility of the corresponding domestic exchange rate. We find that information spillover and portfolio rebalancing, rather than common information shocks, represented major channels for the transmission of breaks across countries.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by University of Chicago Press in its journal Journal of Business.

Volume (Year): 78 (2005)
Issue (Month): 1 (January)
Pages: 169-212
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Handle: RePEc:ucp:jnlbus:v:78:y:2005:i:1:p:169-212

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  1. Roberta Colavecchio & Michael Funke, 2009. "Volatility Dependence across Asia-Pacific Onshore and Offshore Currency Forwards Markets," Working Papers 112009, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Colavecchio , Roberta & Funke, Michael, 2007. "Volatility dependence across Asia-Pacific on-shore and off-shore U.S. dollar futures markets," BOFIT Discussion Papers 17/2007, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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