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Fertility Decline, Baby Boom, and Economic Growth

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Author Info
Kevin M. Murphy
Curtis Simon
Robert Tamura

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Abstract

We present new data on fertility, schooling, and child survival in fertility in the United States between 1800 and 2000. Over that period, fertility, children's schooling, and child survival converged across states and regions. Falling child mortality, rising parental education, and increased population density are all associated with falling fertility and rising children's schooling. Our data reveal two baby boom regimes. Regions that experienced large baby booms had smaller increases in child schooling, whereas regions that experienced small baby booms had larger increases. We parameterize a model that appears to fit well the broad trends in our data.

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File URL: http://www.journals.uchicago.edu/cgi-bin/resolve?id=doi:10.1086/593052
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Publisher Info
Article provided by University of Chicago Press in its journal Journal of Human Capital.

Volume (Year): 2 (2008)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 262-302
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Handle: RePEc:ucp:jhucap:v:2:i:3:y:2008:p:262-302

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  1. Raquel Fernández, 2009. "Women's Rights and Development," NBER Working Papers 15355, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-16.


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