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Do higher rents discourage fertility? evidence from U.S. cities, 1940-2000

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Author Info
Simon, Curtis
Tamura, Robert

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Abstract

This paper documents the existence of a negative cross-sectional correlation between the price of living space and fertility using U.S. Census data over the period 1940-2000. This correlation is not spurious, nor does it reflect the tendency of larger families to locate within less-expensive areas of a given metropolitan area. We examine the extent to which the results reflect the sorting of married couples across metropolitan areas on desired fertility. The relationship between the unit price of living space and fertility in fact tends to be more negative for households that have moved recently. However, the probability of migration between metropolitan areas is smaller for larger families, even those originating in more expensive cities. Moreover, Durbin-Wu-Hausman tests reveal only limited evidence of endogeneity. The weaker effects of the price of living space for less mobile couples seems to be at least in part a result of their choosing to live in less-expensive portions within a given metropolitan area.

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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/7721/
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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 7721.

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Date of creation: 15 Feb 2008
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:7721

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Related research
Keywords: price of space fertility metropolitan areas

Find related papers by JEL classification:
J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
R21 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand

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This page was last updated on 2008-11-18.


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