Advanced Search
MyIDEAS: Login

The Displacement and Multiplier Effects of Regional Selective Assistance: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis

Contents:

Author Info

  • Gary Gillespie
  • Peter Mcgregor
  • J. Kim Swales
  • Ya Ping Yin

Abstract

This paper uses a hybrid approach to simulate the effects of Regional Selective Assistance (RSA) for Scotland. This combines 'industrial survey' estimation of the direct impacts and computable general equilibrium (CGE) modelling of the system-wide effects. The results are compared to those derived using the method currently adopted in official evaluation studies of RSA and other regional regeneration policy instruments. The CGE approach captures capacity, labour market displacement and migration effects ignored in existing studies. Simulation identifies the conditions under which these effects are likely to be quantitatively important. A partir d'une facon hybride, cet article cherche a simuler pour l'Ecosse l'impact des primes regionales. Une estimation des effets directs a partir d'une enquete aupres de l'industrie se voit allier a la modelisation des effets generalises par une analyse d'equilibre general sur ordinateur. On compare les resultats a ceux qui proviennent des methodes employees actuellement dans les etudes officielles qui evaluent l'impact des primes regionales et d'autres incitations a finalite regionale. L'analyse d'equilibre general sur ordinateur saisit les effets de capacite, de deplacement du marche du travail et de migration dont les etudes anterieures ne tiennent pas compte. La simulation identifie les conditions selon lesquelles ces effets risquent d'etre quantitativement importants. Dieser Aufsatz benutzt eine Mischform des Ansatzes, um die Wirkung regionaler selektiver Hilfeleistung (Regional Selective Assistance= RSA) fur Schottland zu simulieren. Hierbei werden industrielle Ubersichtsschatzungen unmittelbare Auswirkungen mit der berechenbaren Erstellung des allgemeinen Equilibriums (Computable General Equilibrium= CGE) der Wirkungen kombiniert, die das gesamte System betreffen. Die Ergebnisse werden mit denen verglichen, die unter Benutzung der gegenwartig in offiziellen Bewertungsstudien der RSA und anderen Instrumenten der regionalen Regenerationspolitik benutzt werden. Der CGE Ansatz erfasst Kapazitat, Arbeitsmarkverschiebungen und Wanderungseffekte, die bereits vorhandene Studien vernachlassigt hatten. Simulation identifiziert die Bedingungen, unter denen diese Effekte von quantitativer Bedeutung sein konnten.

Download Info

If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
File URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00343400120033115
Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version under "Related research" (further below) or search for a different version of it.

Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Regional Studies.

Volume (Year): 35 (2001)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
Pages: 125-139

as in new window
Handle: RePEc:taf:regstd:v:35:y:2001:i:2:p:125-139

Contact details of provider:
Web page: http://taylorandfrancis.metapress.com/link.asp?target=journal&id=104661

Order Information:
Web: http://www.tandf.co.uk/journals/subscription.asp

Related research

Keywords: Regional Policy; Displacement; Multipliers; Computable General Equilibrium (CGE); Regional Selective Assistance (RSA); Scotland;

References

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
as in new window
  1. Batey, Peter W. J. & Madden, Moss, 1983. "The modelling of demographic-economic change within the context of regional decline: Analytical procedures and empirical results," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 17(5-6), pages 315-328.
  2. Harrison, Glenn W & Rutherford, Thomas F & Wooton, Ian, 1991. "An Empirical Database for a General Equilibrium Model of the European Communities," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 95-120.
  3. Harrigan, Frank & McGregor, Peter G. & Dourmashkin, Neil & Perman, Roger & Swales, Kim & Yin, Ya Ping, 1991. "AMOS : A macro-micro model of Scotland," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 424-479, October.
  4. J. K. Swales, 1997. "The Ex Post Evaluation of Regional Selective Assistance," Regional Studies, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 31(9), pages 859-865.
  5. Kim Swales, 1997. "A cost-benefit approach to the evaluation of regional selective assistance," Fiscal Studies, Institute for Fiscal Studies, vol. 18(1), pages 73-85, February.
  6. Larry J. Kimbell & Glenn W. Harrison, 1982. "General Equilibrium Analysis of Regional Fiscal Incidence," UCLA Economics Working Papers 236, UCLA Department of Economics.
  7. Shoven,John B. & Whalley,John, 1992. "Applying General Equilibrium," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521319867.
  8. P W J Batey, 1985. "Input - output models for regional demographic - economic analysis: some structural comparisons," Environment and Planning A, Pion Ltd, London, vol. 17(1), pages 73-99, January.
  9. Layard, Richard & Nickell, Stephen & Jackman, Richard, 1991. "Unemployment: Macroeconomic Performance and the Labour Market," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198284345, September.
  10. Treyz, George I, et al, 1993. "The Dynamics of U.S. Internal Migration," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 75(2), pages 209-14, May.
  11. Rich Jones & John Whalley, 1986. "Regional Effects of Taxes in Canada: An Applied General Equilibrium Approach," NBER Working Papers 2107, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  12. Scarf,Herbert E. & Shoven,John B., 2008. "Applied General Equilibrium Analysis," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521070935.
  13. Pissarides, Christopher A & McMaster, Ian, 1990. "Regional Migration, Wages and Unemployment: Empirical Evidence and Implications for Policy," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 42(4), pages 812-31, October.
  14. Harrison, Glenn W. & Jones, Richard & Kimbell, Larry J. & Wigle, Randal, 1993. "How robust is applied general equilibrium analysis?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 15(1), pages 99-115, February.
  15. Harrison, Glenn W & Rutherford, Thomas F & Tarr, David G, 1997. "Quantifying the Uruguay Round," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 107(444), pages 1405-30, September.
  16. Cross,Rod Preface by-Name:Blanchard,Olivier (ed.), 1995. "The Natural Rate of Unemployment," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521483308.
Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

Citations

Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
as in new window

Cited by:
  1. Linda Ferguson & Peter Mcgregor & J. Kim Swales & Karen Turner & Ya Ping Yin, 2005. "Incorporating sustainability indicators into a computable general equilibrium model of the scottish economy," Economic Systems Research, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 17(2), pages 103-140.
  2. Michelle Gilmartin & Kim Swales & Karen Turner, 2008. "A Comparison of Results From MRIO and Interregional Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Analyses of the Impacts of a Positive Demand Shock on the ‘CO2 Trade Balance’ Between Scotland and," Working Papers 0808, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
  3. Gillespie, Gary & McGregor, Peter G. & Swales, J. Kim & Yin, Yan Ping, 1999. "A Computable General Equilibrium Approach to the Ex Post Evaluation of Regional Development Agency Policies," ERSA conference papers ersa99pa260, European Regional Science Association.
  4. Kim Swales, 2008. "The Relative Efficiency of Automatic and Discretionary Industrial Aid," Working Papers 0812, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
  5. Byers, Steven & Cutler, Harvey & Davies, Stephen P., 2004. "Estimating Costs and Benefits of Economic Growth: A CGE-Based Study of Tax Incentives in a Rapidly Growing Region," Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, Mid-Continent Regional Science Association, vol. 34(2).

Lists

This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

Statistics

Access and download statistics

Corrections

When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:regstd:v:35:y:2001:i:2:p:125-139

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Michael McNulty).

If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.