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A Macroprudential Supervision Model. Empirical Evidence From The Central And Eastern European Banking System

Author

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  • Trenca Ioan

    (Babes-Bolyai University, Babes-Bolyai University)

  • Balogh Peter
  • Mutu Simona

Abstract

One of the positive effects of the financial crises is the increasing concern of the supervisors regarding the financial system's stability. There is a need to strengthen the links between different financial components of the financial system and the macroeconomic environment. Banking systems that have an adequate capitalization and liquidity level may face easier economic and financial shocks. The purpose of this empirical study is to identify the main determinants of the banking system's stability and soundness in the Central and Eastern Europe countries. We asses the impact of different macroeconomic variables on the quality of capital and liquidity conditions and examine the behaviour of these financial stability indicators, by analyzing a sample of 10 banking systems during 2000-2011. The availability of banking capital signals the banking system's resiliency to shocks. Capital adequacy ratio is the main indicator used to assess the banking fragility. One of the causes of the 2008-2009 financial crisis was the lack of liquidity in the banking system which led to the collapse of several banking institutions and macroeconomic imbalances. Given the importance of liquidity for the banking system, we propose several models in order to determine the macroeconomic variables that have a significant influence on the liquid reserves to total assets ratio. We found evidence that GDP growth, inflation, domestic credit to private sector, as well as the money and quasi money aggregate indicator have significant impact on the banking stability. The empirical regression confirms the high level of interdependence of the real sector with the financial-banking sector. Also, they prove the necessity for an effective macro prudential supervision at country level which enables the supervisory authorities to have an adequate control over the macro prudential indicators and to take appropriate decisions at the right time.

Suggested Citation

  • Trenca Ioan & Balogh Peter & Mutu Simona, 2013. "A Macroprudential Supervision Model. Empirical Evidence From The Central And Eastern European Banking System," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1(1), pages 1133-1141, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:ora:journl:v:1:y:2013:i:1:p:1133-1141
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    banking supervision; macro prudential monitoring; risk; liquidity; capital adequacy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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