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Mean-variance econometric analysis of household portfolios

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  • Raffaele Miniaci

    (Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche, Universita di Brescia, Brescia, Italy)

  • Sergio Pastorello

    (Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche, Universita di Bologna, Bologna, Italy)

Abstract

We investigate households' portfolio choice using a microeconometric approach derived from mean-variance optimization. We assume that households have heterogeneous expectations on the distribution of excess returns and that they cannot take short positions in risky assets. Assuming two such assets, we derive an explicit solution of the model characterized by four possible portfolio regimes, which are analyzed using two structural probit and tobit specifications with three latent state variables. Both specifications are estimated by weighted maximum likelihood on a cross-section of US households drawn from the 2004 SCF. The tobit specification is simulated in order to evaluate the regressors' effects on regime probabilities and asset demands. We also assess to what extent the predicted state variables are consistent with the self-reported expected returns and risk aversion elicited from the SCF questionnaire. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. in its journal Journal of Applied Econometrics.

Volume (Year): 25 (2010)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 481-504

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Handle: RePEc:jae:japmet:v:25:y:2010:i:3:p:481-504

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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Hurd, Michael & Rooij, Maarten van & Winter, Joachim, 2011. "Stock market expectations of dutch households," Munich Reprints in Economics 19458, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  2. Francesco Menoncin & Paolo Panteghini, 2009. "Retrospective Capital Gains taxation in the real world," Working Papers 0910, University of Brescia, Department of Economics.
  3. Rosella Levaggi & Francesco Menoncin, 2009. "Decentralized provision of merit and impure public goods," Working Papers 0909, University of Brescia, Department of Economics.
  4. Alberto Bisin & John Geanakoplos & Piero Gottardi & Enrico Minelli & Herakles Polemarchakis, 2010. "Markets and contracts," Economics Working Papers ECO2010/29, European University Institute.
    • Alberto Bisin & John Geanakoplos & Piero Gottardi & Enrico Minelli & Heracles Polemarchakis, 2009. "Markets and Contracts," Working Papers 0915, University of Brescia, Department of Economics.
  5. Del Boca, Alessandra & Fratianni, Michele & Spinelli, Franco & Trecroci, Carmine, 2010. "The Phillips curve and the Italian lira, 1861-1998," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 182-197, August.
  6. Alessandro Fedele & Raffaele Miniaci, 2009. "Do social enterprises finance their investments differently from for-profit firms? The case of social residential services in Italy," Working Papers 0911, University of Brescia, Department of Economics.
  7. Alessandro Fedele & Paolo Panteghini & Sergio Vergalli, 2009. "Optimal investment and financial strategies under tax rate uncertainty," Working Papers 0912, University of Brescia, Department of Economics.
  8. Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin, 2010. "Bayesian Estimation of Stochastic-Transition Markov-Switching Models for Business Cycle Analysis," Working Papers 1002, University of Brescia, Department of Economics.
  9. Martin Meier & Enrico Minelli & Herakles Polemarchakis, 2009. "Competitive Markets with Private Information on Both Sides," Working Papers 0917, University of Brescia, Department of Economics.
  10. Alessandro Fedele & Francesco Liucci & Andrea Mantovani, 2009. "Credit availability in the crisis: the European investment bank group," Working Papers 0913, University of Brescia, Department of Economics.
  11. Tas, Derya & Calvo-Pardo, Hector & Arrondel, Luc, 2012. "Subjective Return Expectations, Information and Stock Market Participation : Evidence from France," Economics Papers from University Paris Dauphine 123456789/9805, Paris Dauphine University.

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