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Managing Growth: The Role of Export, Inflation and Investment in Three ASEAN Neighboring Countries

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Author Info
Audrey Liwan
Evan Lau

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Abstract

This study investigates the relationship between export, inflation, investment and economic growth for the three ASEAN countries, namely Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand. In general, the results reveal that export has a positive impact on growth. As for, Malaysia and Thailand, inflation has a negative impact on growth; while for Indonesia it has a positive impact. The inflation rate for Indonesia has remained more or less consistent over several years, which has led to the positive relationship between inflation and growth. However, modest increase in the rate of inflation has also been noticed in certain years. The results show that investment has a positive impact on growth for Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Icfai Press in its journal The Icfai University Journal of Managerial Economics.

Volume (Year): V (2007)
Issue (Month): 4 (November)
Pages: 7-16
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Handle: RePEc:icf:icfjme:v:05:y:2007:i:4:p:7-16

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  2. D. Hodge, 2006. "Inflation and growth in South Africa," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 30(2), pages 163-180, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Granger, C. W. J., 1988. "Some recent development in a concept of causality," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 39(1-2), pages 199-211. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Gonzalo, Jesus, 1994. "Five alternative methods of estimating long-run equilibrium relationships," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 60(1-2), pages 203-233. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Boriss Siliverstovs & Dierk Herzer, 2007. "Manufacturing exports, mining exports and growth: cointegration and causality analysis for Chile (1960--2001)," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 39(2), pages 153-167, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Johansen, Soren & Juselius, Katarina, 1990. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration--With Applications to the Demand for Money," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 52(2), pages 169-210, May.
  7. Þorvaldur Gylfason, 1997. "Exports, Inflation, and Growth," IMF Working Papers 97/119, International Monetary Fund.
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  8. Phillips, P C B, 1991. "Optimal Inference in Cointegrated Systems," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(2), pages 283-306, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  9. Jesus Gonzalo & Jean-Yves Pitarakis, 2001. "Lag Length Estimation in Large Dimensional Systems," Econometrics 0108003, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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  10. Denis Kwiatkowski & Peter C.B. Phillips & Peter Schmidt, 1991. "Testing the Null Hypothesis of Stationarity Against the Alternative of a Unit Root: How Sure Are We That Economic Time Series Have a Unit Root?," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 979, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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