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Analyzing Commute Mode Choice Using the LCNL Model in the Post-COVID-19 Era: Evidence from China

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  • Siliang Luan

    (School of Transportation, Jilin University, Changchun 130015, China
    Jilin Research Center for Intelligent Transportation System, Changchun 130015, China
    Jilin Province Key Laboratory of Road Traffic, Changchun 130015, China)

  • Qingfang Yang

    (School of Transportation, Jilin University, Changchun 130015, China
    Jilin Research Center for Intelligent Transportation System, Changchun 130015, China
    Jilin Province Key Laboratory of Road Traffic, Changchun 130015, China)

  • Zhongtai Jiang

    (School of Transportation, Jilin University, Changchun 130015, China
    Jilin Research Center for Intelligent Transportation System, Changchun 130015, China
    Jilin Province Key Laboratory of Road Traffic, Changchun 130015, China)

  • Huxing Zhou

    (School of Transportation, Jilin University, Changchun 130015, China
    Jilin Research Center for Intelligent Transportation System, Changchun 130015, China
    Jilin Province Key Laboratory of Road Traffic, Changchun 130015, China)

  • Fanyun Meng

    (School of Transportation, Jilin University, Changchun 130015, China
    Jilin Research Center for Intelligent Transportation System, Changchun 130015, China
    Jilin Province Key Laboratory of Road Traffic, Changchun 130015, China)

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to gain an insight into commuting and travel mode choices in the post-COVID-19 era. The surveys are divided into two waves in Qingdao, China: the first-wave questionnaires were collected under the background of a three-month zero growth of cases; the second wave was implemented after the new confirmed cases of COVID-19. The latent class nested logit (LCNL) model is applied to capture heterogeneous characteristics among the various classes. The results indicate that age, income, household composition, and the frequency of use of travel modes are latent factors that impact users’ attitudes toward mass transit and the private car nests when undergoing the shock of the COVID-19 pandemic. Individuals’ trepidation regarding health risks began to fade, but this is still a vital consideration in terms of mode choice and the purchase of vehicles. Moreover, economic reinvigoration, the increase in car ownership, and an increase in the desire to purchase a car may result in great challenges for urban traffic networks.

Suggested Citation

  • Siliang Luan & Qingfang Yang & Zhongtai Jiang & Huxing Zhou & Fanyun Meng, 2022. "Analyzing Commute Mode Choice Using the LCNL Model in the Post-COVID-19 Era: Evidence from China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(9), pages 1-26, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:19:y:2022:i:9:p:5076-:d:799196
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