IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jijerp/v18y2021i17p9199-d626450.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Main Factors Determining the Economic Production Sustained by Public Long-Term Care Spending in Spain

Author

Listed:
  • Fernando Bermejo

    (School of Social Sciences, Castilla-La Mancha University (UCLM), 16071 Cuenca, Spain)

  • Raúl del Pozo

    (School of Social Sciences, Castilla-La Mancha University (UCLM), 16071 Cuenca, Spain)

  • Pablo Moya

    (School of Social Sciences, Castilla-La Mancha University (UCLM), 16071 Cuenca, Spain)

Abstract

Policy reforms of 2012 introduced in Spain a set of austerity measures to emerge from the 2008 global recession. However, attaining the sustainability of the long-term care (LTC) system by reducing public spending overlooks the drawbacks of a lower demand to meet dependency needs. In this context, this study is intended to provide a deeper insight into the economic factors affecting the shifts in the industrial output sustained by LTC spending before and after the austerity measures adopted in 2012. To accomplish this, we first apply a model based on the Input-Output methodology to quantify the output arisen from the consumption demand to meet the dependency needs covered by LTC spending in 2009, 2012 and 2015. Using the results of this model, we carry out a Structural Decomposition Analysis to explore the main drivers of change in the Spanish economic production for 2009–2012 and 2012–2015. The findings reveal that LTC demand factors have proven more relevant than technology factors in increasing production for the two periods considered. Such findings might guide political decision-making on the management of the LTC system in Spain, showing that public LTC spending does not merely contribute to the welfare of dependents, but also may boost economic production.

Suggested Citation

  • Fernando Bermejo & Raúl del Pozo & Pablo Moya, 2021. "Main Factors Determining the Economic Production Sustained by Public Long-Term Care Spending in Spain," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(17), pages 1-18, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:18:y:2021:i:17:p:9199-:d:626450
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/18/17/9199/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/18/17/9199/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Marco Percoco & Geoffrey Hewings & Lanfranco Senn, 2006. "Structural change decomposition through a global sensitivity analysis of input-output models," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(2), pages 115-131.
    2. Kurt Kratena & Stefan Schleicher, 1999. "Impact of Carbon Dioxide Emissions Reduction on the Austrian Economy," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(3), pages 245-261.
    3. Pablo Moya-Martínez & Fernando Bermejo & Raúl del Pozo-Rubio, 2021. "Hard times for long-term care systems? Spillover effects on the Spanish economy," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(1), pages 1-19, January.
    4. Duarte, Rosa & Mainar, Alfredo & Sánchez-Chóliz, Julio, 2013. "The role of consumption patterns, demand and technological factors on the recent evolution of CO2 emissions in a group of advanced economies," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 1-13.
    5. Panos Kanavos & Olivier Wouters & Joan Costa-Font & Christophe Courbage & Peter Zweifel, 2017. "Policy Dilemmas in Financing Long-term Care in Europe," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 8(s2), pages 38-45, March.
    6. Skolka, Jiri, 1989. "Input-output structural decomposition analysis for Austria," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 45-66.
    7. Scazzieri, Roberto, 2018. "Structural dynamics and evolutionary change," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 52-58.
    8. Peter Batey & Moss Madden, 1999. "The employment impact of demographic change: A regional analysis," Papers in Regional Science, Springer;Regional Science Association International, vol. 78(1), pages 69-87.
    9. repec:bla:glopol:v:8:y:2017:i::p:38-45 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Duarte, Rosa & Mainar, Alfredo & Sánchez-Chóliz, Julio, 2010. "The impact of household consumption patterns on emissions in Spain," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 176-185, January.
    11. Joseph STIGLITZ, 2013. "The global crisis, social protection and jobs," International Labour Review, International Labour Organization, vol. 152, pages 93-106, January.
    12. Yong Jin Kim & Chan Young Kim & Yong Jae Shin, 2017. "The effects of ubiquitous healthcare service on the south Korean Economy: using input–output analysis," Information Systems Frontiers, Springer, vol. 19(5), pages 1149-1160, October.
    13. Francisco Martí & Javier J. Pérez, 2015. "Spanish Public Finances through the Financial Crisis," Fiscal Studies, Institute for Fiscal Studies, vol. 36, pages 527-554, December.
    14. Rutger Hoekstra & Jeroen van den Bergh, 2002. "Structural Decomposition Analysis of Physical Flows in the Economy," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 23(3), pages 357-378, November.
    15. del Pozo-Rubio, Raúl & Jiménez-Rubio, Dolores, 2019. "Catastrophic risk associated with out-of-pocket payments for long term care in Spain," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 123(6), pages 582-589.
    16. Shigemi Kagawa, 2005. "Inter-industry analysis, consumption structure, and the household waste production structure," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(4), pages 409-423.
    17. Cazcarro, Ignacio & Duarte, Rosa & Sánchez-Chóliz, Julio, 2013. "Economic growth and the evolution of water consumption in Spain: A structural decomposition analysis," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 51-61.
    18. Marcel P. Timmer & Erik Dietzenbacher & Bart Los & Robert Stehrer & Gaaitzen J. Vries, 2015. "An Illustrated User Guide to the World Input–Output Database: the Case of Global Automotive Production," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(3), pages 575-605, August.
    19. André Carrascal Incera, 2017. "Drivers of change in the European youth employment: a comparative structural decomposition analysis," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(4), pages 463-485, October.
    20. Batey, Peter W. J. & Madden, Moss, 1983. "The modelling of demographic-economic change within the context of regional decline: Analytical procedures and empirical results," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 17(5-6), pages 315-328.
    21. Arto, I. & Rueda-Cantuche, J.M. & Andreoni, V. & Mongelli, I. & Genty, A., 2014. "The game of trading jobs for emissions," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 517-525.
      • Arto, I. & Rueda-Cantuche, José M. & Dietzenbacher, E. & Andreoni, V. & Mongelli, I. & Genty, A. & Villanueva, A., 2012. "The Game of Trading Jobs for Emissions," Conference papers 332231, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    22. Sanchez-Choliz, Julio & Duarte, Rosa & Mainar, Alfredo, 2007. "Environmental impact of household activity in Spain," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(2), pages 308-318, April.
    23. Erik Dietzenbacher & Olaf J. De Groot & Bart Los, 2007. "Consumption Growth Accounting," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 53(3), pages 422-439, September.
    24. Wang, H. & Ang, B.W. & Su, Bin, 2017. "Multiplicative structural decomposition analysis of energy and emission intensities: Some methodological issues," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 47-63.
    25. Alcantara, Vicent & Roca, Jordi, 1995. "Energy and CO2 emissions in Spain : Methodology of analysis and some results for 1980-1990," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 221-230, July.
    26. Martin Feldstein, 2005. "Rethinking Social Insurance," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 95(1), pages 1-24, March.
    27. Teresa Ghilarducci & Joelle Saad-Lessler & Eloy Fisher, 2012. "The macroeconomic stabilisation effects of Social Security and 401(k) plans," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 36(1), pages 237-251.
    28. Erik Dietzenbacher & Bart Los, 1998. "Structural Decomposition Techniques: Sense and Sensitivity," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(4), pages 307-324.
    29. Hsu, George J. Y., 1989. "Energy multipliers for economic analysis : An input-output approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 33-38, January.
    30. Sergi Jiménez & Cristina Vilaplana & Analía Andrea Viola, 2016. "Observatorio de la Dependencia (febrero 2016)," Studies on the Spanish Economy eee2016-05, FEDEA.
    31. Rose, A. & Chen, C. Y., 1991. "Sources of change in energy use in the U.S. economy, 1972-1982 : A structural decomposition analysis," Resources and Energy, Elsevier, vol. 13(1), pages 1-21, April.
    32. Vu, K.M., 2017. "Structural change and economic growth: Empirical evidence and policy insights from Asian economies," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 64-77.
    33. Bin Su & B. W. Ang, 2012. "Structural Decomposition Analysis Applied To Energy And Emissions: Aggregation Issues," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(3), pages 299-317, March.
    34. Sofia A. Perez & Manos Matsaganis, 2018. "The Political Economy of Austerity in Southern Europe," New Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(2), pages 192-207, March.
    35. Su, Bin & Ang, B.W., 2012. "Structural decomposition analysis applied to energy and emissions: Some methodological developments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 177-188.
    36. Raúl del Pozo & Francisco Escribano Sotos, 2013. "Coste agregado e individual esperado de la Ley de Dependencia en España a partir de los modelos de simulación de Monte Carlo y Multi-Estado de Discapacidad," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 204(1), pages 85-110, March.
    37. Munksgaard, Jesper & Pedersen, Klaus Alsted & Wien, Mette, 2000. "Impact of household consumption on CO2 emissions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 423-440, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Guangbo Ma & Kun Xu, 2022. "Value-Based Health Care: Long-Term Care Insurance for Out-of-Pocket Medical Expenses and Self-Rated Health," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(1), pages 1-20, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Cansino, José M. & Román, Rocío & Ordóñez, Manuel, 2016. "Main drivers of changes in CO2 emissions in the Spanish economy: A structural decomposition analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 150-159.
    2. Gui, Shusen & Mu, Hailin & Li, Nan, 2014. "Analysis of impact factors on China's CO2 emissions from the view of supply chain paths," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 405-416.
    3. Ninpanit, Panittra & Malik, Arunima & Wakiyama, Takako & Geschke, Arne & Lenzen, Manfred, 2019. "Thailand’s energy-related carbon dioxide emissions from production-based and consumption-based perspectives," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    4. Román-Collado, Rocío & Ordoñez, Manuel & Mundaca, Luis, 2018. "Has electricity turned green or black in Chile? A structural decomposition analysis of energy consumption," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 282-298.
    5. Guevara, Zeus & Henriques, SofiaTeives & Sousa, Tânia, 2021. "Driving factors of differences in primary energy intensities of 14 European countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    6. Radwan, Amira & Hongyun, Han & Achraf, Abdelhak & Mustafa, Ahmed M., 2022. "Energy use and energy-related carbon dioxide emissions drivers in Egypt's economy: Focus on the agricultural sector with a structural decomposition analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 258(C).
    7. Avelino, André F.T. & Franco-Solís, Alberto & Carrascal-Incera, André, 2021. "Revisiting the Temporal Leontief Inverse: New Insights on the Analysis of Regional Technological Economic Change," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 79-89.
    8. Hong, Jae Pyo & Byun, Jeong Eun & Kim, Pang Ryong, 2016. "Structural changes and growth factors of the ICT industry in Korea: 1995–2009," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 40(5), pages 502-513.
    9. Wang, Zhenguo & Su, Bin & Xie, Rui & Long, Haiyu, 2020. "China’s aggregate embodied CO2 emission intensity from 2007 to 2012: A multi-region multiplicative structural decomposition analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    10. Changjian Wang & Fei Wang, 2015. "Structural Decomposition Analysis of Carbon Emissions and Policy Recommendations for Energy Sustainability in Xinjiang," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(6), pages 1-20, June.
    11. Duarte, Rosa & Mainar, Alfredo & Sánchez-Chóliz, Julio, 2013. "The role of consumption patterns, demand and technological factors on the recent evolution of CO2 emissions in a group of advanced economies," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 1-13.
    12. Zeus Guevara & Oscar Córdoba & Edith X. M. García & Rafael Bouchain, 2017. "The Status and Evolution of Energy Supply and Use in Mexico Prior to the 2014 Energy Reform: An Input-Output Approach †," Economies, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-17, March.
    13. Román-Collado, Rocío & Colinet, Maria José, 2018. "Is energy efficiency a driver or an inhibitor of energy consumption changes in Spain? Two decomposition approaches," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 409-417.
    14. Zhong, Sheng, 2018. "Structural decompositions of energy consumption between 1995 and 2009: Evidence from WIOD," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 655-667.
    15. Zhou, Xiaoyong & Zhou, Dequn & Wang, Qunwei, 2018. "How does information and communication technology affect China's energy intensity? A three-tier structural decomposition analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 748-759.
    16. Zhipeng Tang & Shuang Wu & Jialing Zou, 2020. "Consumption substitution and change of household indirect energy consumption in China between 1997 and 2012," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(8), pages 1-19, August.
    17. Zhang, Danyang & Wang, Hui & Löschel, Andreas & Zhou, Peng, 2021. "The changing role of global value chains in CO2 emission intensity in 2000–2014," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    18. Erik Dietzenbacher & Jesper Stage, 2006. "Mixing oil and water? Using hybrid input-output tables in a Structural decomposition analysis," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(1), pages 85-95.
    19. Ling Yang & Michael L. Lahr, 2019. "The Drivers of China’s Regional Carbon Emission Change—A Structural Decomposition Analysis from 1997 to 2007," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-18, June.
    20. María T. Álvarez-Martínez & Alfredo J. Mainar-Causapé, 2021. "The GHG Emissions Generating Capacity by Productive Sectors in the EU: A SAM Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-14, February.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:18:y:2021:i:17:p:9199-:d:626450. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.