Advanced Search
MyIDEAS: Login to save this article or follow this journal

Coste agregado e individual esperado de la Ley de Dependencia en España a partir de los modelos de simulación de Monte Carlo y Multi-Estado de Discapacidad

Contents:

Author Info

  • Raúl del Pozo

    ()
    (Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha)

  • Francisco Escribano Sotos

    ()
    (Universidad Castilla-La Mancha)

Abstract

El presente trabajo, partiendo de distribuciones reales de prestaciones de dependencia según grado y Comunidad Autónoma (CA), estima el coste global y promedio individual de dependencia según grado baremado y comunidad de residencia, así como el coste individual actual en sentido actuarial según edad, sexo, grado de dependencia y comunidad de residencia. Se utiliza el modelo de simulación de Monte Carlo para la asignación de prestaciones de dependencia y distribución de individuos por comunidades, a partir de sus distribuciones multinomiales de probabilidad, y el modelo Multi-Estado de Discapacidad para el cálculo del coste actual en sentido actuarial. El montante global estimado de recursos a movilizar a nivel nacional en 2011 para dependencia asciende a 6.417,35 millones de euros, un 0,60% del PIB. Según grado, el coste promedio anual de dependencia asciende a 7.275,84 € anuales para el grado II (dependencia severa) y a 10.541,76 € anuales para el grado III (gran dependencia), con importantes diferencias entre CC.AA.

Download Info

If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
File URL: http://www.ief.es/documentos/recursos/publicaciones/revistas/hac_pub/204_Art4.pdf
Download Restriction: no

Bibliographic Info

Article provided by IEF in its journal Hacienda Pública Española/Review of Public Economics.

Volume (Year): 204 (2013)
Issue (Month): 1 (March)
Pages: 85-110

as in new window
Handle: RePEc:hpe:journl:y:2013:v:204:i:1:p:85-110

Contact details of provider:
Postal: Avda. Cardenal Herrera Oria, 378, 28035 Madrid
Phone: 91-339.89.15
Fax: 91-339.89.64
Email:
Web page: http://www.ief.es
More information through EDIRC

Related research

Keywords: dependencia; costes; gasto público; simulación Monte Carlo; actuarial.;

Find related papers by JEL classification:

References

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
as in new window
  1. Patrick Hennessy, 1995. "Social Protection for Dependent Elderly People: Perspectives from a Review of OECD Countries," OECD Labour Market and Social Policy Occasional Papers 16, OECD Publishing.
Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

Citations

Lists

This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

Statistics

Access and download statistics

Corrections

When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hpe:journl:y:2013:v:204:i:1:p:85-110. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Olga Cantó Sánchez) The email address of this maintainer does not seem to be valid anymore. Please ask Olga Cantó Sánchez to update the entry or send us the correct address.

If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.