IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ers/journl/vxxiiiy2020i4p241-257.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Comparison on Subannual Seasonality of Building Construction in European Countries

Author

Listed:
  • Lukasz Mach
  • Dariusz Zmarzly
  • Ireneusz Dabrowski
  • Pawel Fracz

Abstract

Purpose: The objective of this study involves the determination of cyclical characteristics that occur on the European construction market. Design/Methodology/Approach: In the research implementation process, time-frequency analysis was used to identify and analyze cyclicalities in the construction market. Findings: The results clearly demonstrate the absence of a homogeneous construction market in the investigated countries. The diversity of the European construction market is revealed by the various responses to the periods corresponding to the ups and downs of the economy. Practical Implications: The present research provides grounds for the clear indication of specific countries and cyclical characteristics on the construction market in them to define guidelines suitable for the identification of adequate scenarios for the development of construction markets in them. Originality/value: The conclusion derived from the study is associated with the classification of construction markets and identification of various responses of individual markets to the occurrence of macroeconomic or microeconomic stimuli.

Suggested Citation

  • Lukasz Mach & Dariusz Zmarzly & Ireneusz Dabrowski & Pawel Fracz, 2020. "Comparison on Subannual Seasonality of Building Construction in European Countries," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4), pages 241-257.
    • Handle: RePEc:ers:journl:v:xxiii:y:2020:i:4:p:241-257
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.ersj.eu/journal/1682/download
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Badarinza, Cristian & Ramadorai, Tarun, 2018. "Home away from home? Foreign demand and London house prices," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(3), pages 532-555.
    2. Andrea Gazzani, 2020. "News and noise bubbles in the housing market," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 36, pages 46-72, April.
    3. Miyazaki, Tomomi, 2009. "Public investment and business cycles: The case of Japan," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 419-426, September.
    4. Makin, Anthony J., 2019. "Lessons for macroeconomic policy from the Global Financial Crisis," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 13-25.
    5. Piao, Xiaorui & Mei, Bin & Xue, Yuan, 2016. "Comparing the financial performance of timber REITs and other REITs," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 115-121.
    6. Gabrovski, Miroslav & Ortego-Marti, Victor, 2019. "The cyclical behavior of the Beveridge Curve in the housing market," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 361-381.
    7. Liow, Kim Hiang & Newell, Graeme, 2016. "Real estate global beta and spillovers: An international study," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 297-313.
    8. Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Spillovers across macroeconomic, financial and real estate uncertainties: A time-varying approach," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 167-173.
    9. Sheldon, Tamara L., 2017. "Asymmetric effects of the business cycle on carbon dioxide emissions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 289-297.
    10. Chen, Sophia & Ranciere, Romain, 2019. "Financial information and macroeconomic forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1160-1174.
    11. Taderera, Marimo & Akinsomi, Omokolade, 2020. "Is commercial real estate a good hedge against inflation? Evidence from South Africa," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    12. Minetti, Raoul & Peng, Tao, 2013. "Lending constraints, real estate prices and business cycles in emerging economies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 2397-2416.
    13. Devaney, Steven & Xiao, Qin, 2017. "Cyclical co-movements of private real estate, public real estate and equity markets: A cross-continental spectrum," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 42, pages 132-151.
    14. Fan, Ying & Yang, Zan & Yavas, Abdullah, 2019. "Understanding real estate price dynamics: The case of housing prices in five major cities of China✰," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 37-55.
    15. Caruso, Alberto, 2019. "Macroeconomic news and market reaction: Surprise indexes meet nowcasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1725-1734.
    16. Bengtsson, Elias & Grothe, Magdalena & Lepers, Etienne, 2020. "Home, safe home: Cross-country monitoring framework for vulnerabilities in the residential real estate sector," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    17. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy, 2019. "Time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the US housing market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 15-20.
    18. Ghoddusi, Hamed & Creamer, Germán G. & Rafizadeh, Nima, 2019. "Machine learning in energy economics and finance: A review," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 709-727.
    19. La, Le & Mei, Bin, 2015. "Portfolio diversification through timber real estate investment trusts: A cointegration analysis," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 269-274.
    20. Borjigin, Sumuya & Yang, Yating & Yang, Xiaoguang & Sun, Leilei, 2018. "Econometric testing on linear and nonlinear dynamic relation between stock prices and macroeconomy in China," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 493(C), pages 107-115.
    21. Tan, Hao & Mathews, John A., 2010. "Identification and analysis of industry cycles," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 63(5), pages 454-462, May.
    22. Zhou, Zhengyi, 2018. "Housing market sentiment and intervention effectiveness: Evidence from China," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 91-110.
    23. Chen, Ming-Chin & Hung, Chung-Yu, 2010. "The effects of macroeconomic factors on implicit taxes: Evidence from an emerging economy," Journal of International Accounting, Auditing and Taxation, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 79-92.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Arkadiusz Kuświk & Łukasz Mach & Łukasz Mikołajczyk & Marian Drymluch, 2021. "The influence of characteristics of estate developer’s apartments on the chance of selling them," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 52(2), pages 167-190.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Benjamin Kwakye & Chan Tze Haw, 2020. "Interplay of the Macroeconomy and Real Estate: Systematic Review of Literature," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 10(5), pages 262-271.
    2. Zhong, Changbiao & Xie, Lijuan & Shi, Yu & Xu, Xiangyun, 2023. "Macro-prudential policy, its alignment with monetary policy and house price growth: A cross-country study," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 51-62.
    3. Reneé van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Christophe André & Xin Sheng, 2022. "The effect of macroeconomic uncertainty on housing returns and volatility: evidence from US state-level data," Chapters, in: Charles K.Y. Leung (ed.), Handbook of Real Estate and Macroeconomics, chapter 8, pages 206-238, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    4. Mei, Bin & Clutter, Michael L., 2020. "Return and information transmission of public and private timberland markets in the United States," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    5. Mei, Bin, 2019. "Timberland investments in the United States: A review and prospects," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    6. Mário Nuno Mata & Muhammad Najib Razali & Sónia R. Bentes & Isabel Vieira, 2021. "Volatility Spillover Effect of Pan-Asia’s Property Portfolio Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-20, June.
    7. Yin Germaschewski & Shu‐Ling Wang, 2021. "Distributional effects of nonresident investors on the housing market and welfare," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(5), pages 1300-1326, November.
    8. Bello Musa Zango & Sanni Mohammed Lekan & Mohammed Jibrin Katun, 2020. "Conventional Methods in Housing Market Analysis: A Review of Literature," Baltic Journal of Real Estate Economics and Construction Management, Sciendo, vol. 8(1), pages 227-241, January.
    9. Kanis Saengchote & Voraprapa Nakavachara & Yishuang Xu, 2023. "Capitalising the Network Externalities of New Land Supply in the Metaverse," PIER Discussion Papers 203, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
    10. Jen-Yu Lee & Tien-Thinh Nguyen & Hong-Giang Nguyen & Jen-Yao Lee, 2022. "Towards Predictive Crude Oil Purchase: A Case Study in the USA and Europe," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-15, May.
    11. Badarinza, Cristian & Ramadorai, Tarun & Shimizu, Chihiro, 2022. "Gravity, counterparties, and foreign investment," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(2), pages 132-152.
    12. Alessia De Stefani, 2021. "House price history, biased expectations, and credit cycles: The role of housing investors," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 49(4), pages 1238-1266, December.
    13. Shi, Yining, 2022. "Financial liberalization and house prices: Evidence from China," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    14. Yan Carrière-Swallow & José Marzluf, 2023. "Macrofinancial Causes of Optimism in Growth Forecasts," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 71(2), pages 509-537, June.
    15. Kanis Saengchote & Voraprapa Nakavachara & Yishuang Xu, 2023. "Capitalising the Network Externalities of New Land Supply in the Metaverse," Papers 2303.17180, arXiv.org.
    16. Tomomi Miyazaki & Haruo Kondoh, 2022. "Effects of Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interactions on Regional Employment: Evidence from Japan," Discussion Papers 2206, Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University.
    17. Sumit Agarwal & Ying Fan & Daniel P. McMillen & Tien Foo Sing, 2021. "Tracking the pulse of a city—3D real estate price heat maps," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(3), pages 543-569, June.
    18. Cheng, Sheng & Cao, Yan, 2019. "On the relation between global food and crude oil prices: An empirical investigation in a nonlinear framework," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 422-432.
    19. Martin, R. & de Haas, Ralph & Muuls, Mirabelle & Schweiger, Helena, 2021. "Managerial and Financial Barriers to the Net-Zero Transition," Other publications TiSEM f0572d8a-40d7-458f-bb43-8, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    20. Tomomi Miyazaki, 2016. "Fiscal stimulus effectiveness in Japan: evidence from recent policies," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(27), pages 2506-2515, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Housing market; subannual seasonality; time-frequency analysis.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • R30 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - General
    • F63 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Economic Development

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ers:journl:v:xxiii:y:2020:i:4:p:241-257. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Marios Agiomavritis (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://ersj.eu/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.