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Adaptación al cambio climático y sus efectos en la economía de los hogares rurales mexicanos productores de alimentos. (Climate change adaptation and its effects on the economy of the rural Mexican household food producer)

Author

Listed:
  • Alan Martín Hernández-Solano

    (Instituto de Investigaciones Económicas, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México. México.)

  • Véronique Sophie Avila-Foucat

    (Instituto de Investigaciones Económicas, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México. México.)

Abstract

En este artículo, se analizan los posibles impactos del Cambio Climático (CC) y de sus medidas de adaptación en el superávit/déficit comercial del maíz, en la producción y los ingresos reales de los hogares establecidos en la zona rural de México, a partir de un Modelo de Equilibrio General Aplicado y Microeconómico, y de estimaciones directas de los efectos del CC en los rendimientos del maíz obtenidas de la literatura relacionada. Los resultados encontrados muestran que el cambio climático reducirá el ingreso real rural en 6.23% y que afectará, en mayor medida, a la producción de maíz, al grado que la zona pasará de ser superavitaria a deficitaria. Además, se obtuvo que, si bien las medidas de adaptación analizadas ayudarán a reducir los efectos negativos del fenómeno, estas no los eliminarán totalmente.

Suggested Citation

  • Alan Martín Hernández-Solano & Véronique Sophie Avila-Foucat, 2019. "Adaptación al cambio climático y sus efectos en la economía de los hogares rurales mexicanos productores de alimentos. (Climate change adaptation and its effects on the economy of the rural Mexican ho," Ensayos Revista de Economia, Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon, Facultad de Economia, vol. 0(1), pages 61-86, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:ere:journl:v:xxxviii:y:2019:i:1:p:61-89
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agricultura; Distribución del Ingreso; Calentamiento Global; Microanálisis de empresas agrícolas; hogares agrícolas y mercados de insumos agrícolas;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • Q12 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Micro Analysis of Farm Firms, Farm Households, and Farm Input Markets

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