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Explanatory factors of the inflation news impact on stock returns by sector: The Spanish case

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  • Díaz, Antonio
  • Jareño, Francisco
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    Abstract

    We study the short run response of daily stock prices on the Spanish market to the announcements of inflation news at an industrial level, deepening the potential explanatory factors of this response (risk-free interest rate, risk premium and growth expectations). We observe a positive and significant response of the stock returns in case of "bad news" (total inflation rate higher than expected one) in recession, and also in case of negative inflation surprises ("good news") in non-economic recession. This behaviour is consistent with the evolution of the company dividend growth expectations, since we observe that the relationship between this theoretical component of the stock price and the unexpected inflation, to a large extent, seems to explain the observed behaviour.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Research in International Business and Finance.

    Volume (Year): 23 (2009)
    Issue (Month): 3 (September)
    Pages: 349-368

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    Handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:23:y:2009:i:3:p:349-368

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    Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/ribaf

    Related research

    Keywords: Inflation announcement Stock return Flow-through capability;

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