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Dynamic conditional relationships between developed and emerging markets

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  • Song, Wonho
  • Park, Sung Y.
  • Ryu, Doojin

Abstract

This study examines the dynamic conditional correlations between the US and Korean financial markets and identifies the determinants of those correlations using the VAR-DCC-MGARCH model. We find that the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) affects both countries. Although the shocks to the Korean market before the GFC are not shared by the US market, those to the US market after the GFC are shared by the Korean market. We also examine the determinants of the dynamic conditional relations between the US and Korean markets using domestic macroeconomic variables and US/Korean financial variables. The results indicate that the US financial variables are more significant than domestic macroeconomic variables and that they have become increasingly important over time.

Suggested Citation

  • Song, Wonho & Park, Sung Y. & Ryu, Doojin, 2018. "Dynamic conditional relationships between developed and emerging markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 507(C), pages 534-543.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:507:y:2018:i:c:p:534-543
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2018.05.007
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    Cited by:

    1. Jieun Lee & Doojin Ryu, 2019. "The impacts of public news announcements on intraday implied volatility dynamics," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 656-685, June.
    2. Dohyun CHUN & Hoon CHO & Doojin RYU, 2018. "Macroeconomic Structural Changes in a Leading Emerging Market: The Effects of the Asian Financial Crisis," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 22-42, December.
    3. Lee, Jaeram & Lee, Geul & Ryu, Doojin, 2018. "Difference in the intraday return-volume relationships of spots and futures: A quantile regression approach," Economics Discussion Papers 2018-68, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    4. Biao Guo & Qian Han & Jufang Liang & Doojin Ryu & Jinyoung Yu, 2020. "Sovereign Credit Spread Spillovers in Asia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-14, February.
    5. Chun, Dohyun & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2020. "Economic indicators and stock market volatility in an emerging economy," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(2).
    6. Chun, Dohyun & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2019. "Forecasting the KOSPI200 spot volatility using various volatility measures," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 514(C), pages 156-166.
    7. Sang Ik Seok & Hoon Cho & Chanhi Park & Doojin Ryu, 2019. "Do Overnight Returns Truly Measure Firm-Specific Investor Sentiment in the KOSPI Market?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(13), pages 1-14, July.
    8. Jung Park, Yuen & Kutan, Ali M. & Ryu, Doojin, 2019. "The impacts of overseas market shocks on the CDS-option basis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 622-636.
    9. Daehyeon PARK & Doojin RYU, 2021. "Forecasting Stock Market Dynamics using Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 22-34, June.
    10. Lee, Jieun & Ryu, Doojin, 2019. "How does FX liquidity affect the relationship between foreign ownership and stock liquidity?," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 101-119.
    11. Daehyeon Park & Jiyeon Park & Doojin Ryu, 2020. "Volatility Spillovers between Equity and Green Bond Markets," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-12, May.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial market; Global financial crisis; Information spillover; Macroeconomic variables; Overseas shock; VAR-DCC-MGARCH;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation
    • G19 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Other

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