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General equilibrium pricing of currency and currency options

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  • Du, Du

Abstract

This paper presents a consumption-based general equilibrium model for valuing foreign exchange contingent claims. The model identifies a novel economic mechanism by exploiting highly but imperfectly shared consumption disaster with variable intensities which are the concerns to the representative investor under recursive utility. When applied to the data, the model simultaneously replicates (i) the moderate option-implied volatilities; (ii) substantial variations in the risk-neutral skewness of currency returns; (iii) the uncovered interest rate parity puzzle; and (iv) the first two moments of carry trade returns. Furthermore, the model rationalizes salient features of the aggregate stock, government bonds, and equity index options.

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  • Du, Du, 2013. "General equilibrium pricing of currency and currency options," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(3), pages 730-751.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jfinec:v:110:y:2013:i:3:p:730-751
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2013.08.006
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    Cited by:

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    2. Libo Yin & Jing Nie, 2021. "Intermediary asset pricing in currency carry trade returns," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(8), pages 1241-1267, August.
    3. Chen, Shu-Hsiu, 2017. "Carry trade strategies based on option-implied information: Evidence from a cross-section of funding currencies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1-20.
    4. Bruno Freitas Boynard de Vasconcelos & Benjamin Miranda Tabak, 2014. "Banking Systemic Risk, Foreign Funding, Exchange Rate Exposure and Carry Trade: is there a relation?," Working Papers Series 365, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    5. Niu, Yingjie & Yang, Jinqiang & Wu, Yaoyao & Zhao, Siqi, 2022. "Corporate social responsibility and dynamic liquidity management," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    6. Hsu, Shu-Han & Sheu, Chwen & Yoon, Jiho, 2021. "Risk spillovers between cryptocurrencies and traditional currencies and gold under different global economic conditions," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    7. Londono, Juan M. & Zhou, Hao, 2017. "Variance risk premiums and the forward premium puzzle," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(2), pages 415-440.
    8. Bo Liu & Yingjie Niu & Jinqiang Yang & Zhentao Zou, 2020. "Time‐varying risk of rare disasters, investment, and asset pricing," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 55(3), pages 503-524, August.
    9. Irina Zviadadze, 2021. "Term Structure of Risk in Expected Returns [Stock returns and volatility: Pricing the short-run and long-run components of market risk]," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(12), pages 6032-6086.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Variable disaster; Recursive preference; Stochastic skewness; Carry trade; Uncovered interest parity anomaly;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F37 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Finance Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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