Inventory announcements, jump dynamics, volatility and trading volume in U.S. energy futures markets
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2014.11.006
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.
References listed on IDEAS
- Shalen, Catherine T, 1993. "Volume, Volatility, and the Dispersion of Beliefs," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(2), pages 405-434.
- Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2006.
"Econometrics of Testing for Jumps in Financial Economics Using Bipower Variation,"
The Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 4(1), pages 1-30.
- Neil Shephard & Ole Barndorff-Nielsen, 2003. "Econometrics of testing for jumps in financial economics using bipower variation," Economics Series Working Papers 2004-FE-01, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2004. "Econometrics of testing for jumps in financial economics using bipower variationÂ," OFRC Working Papers Series 2004fe01, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
- Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2003. "Econometrics of testing for jumps in financial economics using bipower variation," Economics Papers 2003-W21, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold, 2007.
"Roughing It Up: Including Jump Components in the Measurement, Modeling, and Forecasting of Return Volatility,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 89(4), pages 701-720, November.
- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold, 2005. "Roughing it Up: Including Jump Components in the Measurement, Modeling and Forecasting of Return Volatility," NBER Working Papers 11775, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold, 2007. "Roughing It Up: Including Jump Components in the Measurement, Modeling and Forecasting of Return Volatility," CREATES Research Papers 2007-18, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Jun Pan & Darrell Duffie, 2001. "Analytical value-at-risk with jumps and credit risk," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 5(2), pages 155-180.
- Jarrow, Robert A & Rosenfeld, Eric R, 1984. "Jump Risks and the Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 57(3), pages 337-351, July.
- Xin Huang & George Tauchen, 2005. "The Relative Contribution of Jumps to Total Price Variance," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 3(4), pages 456-499.
- Chan, Wing H & Maheu, John M, 2002. "Conditional Jump Dynamics in Stock Market Returns," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(3), pages 377-389, July.
- Jiang, George J. & Oomen, Roel C.A., 2008. "Testing for jumps when asset prices are observed with noise-a "swap variance" approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 144(2), pages 352-370, June.
- Marketa W. Halova & Alexander Kurov & Oleg Kucher, 2014. "Noisy Inventory Announcements and Energy Prices," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(10), pages 911-933, October.
- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Clara Vega, 2003.
"Micro Effects of Macro Announcements: Real-Time Price Discovery in Foreign Exchange,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(1), pages 38-62, March.
- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Clara Vega, 2002. "Micro Effects of Macro Announcements: Real-Time Price Discovery in Foreign Exchange," NBER Working Papers 8959, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Diebold, Francis X. & Vega, Clara, 2002. "Micro Effects of Macro Announcements: Real-Time Price Discovery in Foreign Exchange," Working Papers 02-16, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Anderson, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Diebold, Francis X. & Vega, Clara, 2002. "Micro Effects of Macro Announcements: Real-Time Price Discovery in Foreign Exchange," Working Papers 02-1, University of Pennsylvania, Wharton School, Weiss Center.
- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Clara Vega, 2002. "Micro Effects of Macro Announcements: Real-Time Price Discovery in Foreign Exchange?," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 02-23, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
- Tao Wang & Jingtao Wu & Jian Yang, 2008. "Realized volatility and correlation in energy futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(10), pages 993-1011, October.
- Kim, O & Verrecchia, Re, 1991. "Trading Volume And Price Reactions To Public Announcements," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(2), pages 302-321.
- John M. Maheu & Thomas H. McCurdy, 2004.
"News Arrival, Jump Dynamics, and Volatility Components for Individual Stock Returns,"
Journal of Finance,
American Finance Association, vol. 59(2), pages 755-793, April.
- John M. Maheu & Thomas H. McCurdy, 2003. "News Arrival, Jump Dynamics and Volatility Components for Individual Stock Returns," CIRANO Working Papers 2003s-38, CIRANO.
- Bandi, Federico M. & Russell, Jeffrey R., 2006. "Separating microstructure noise from volatility," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(3), pages 655-692, March.
- Merton, Robert C., 1976.
"Option pricing when underlying stock returns are discontinuous,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(1-2), pages 125-144.
- Merton, Robert C., 1975. "Option pricing when underlying stock returns are discontinuous," Working papers 787-75., Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Sloan School of Management.
- Michael Johannes, 2004. "The Statistical and Economic Role of Jumps in Continuous-Time Interest Rate Models," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 59(1), pages 227-260, February.
- Suzanne S. Lee & Per A. Mykland, 2008. "Jumps in Financial Markets: A New Nonparametric Test and Jump Dynamics," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(6), pages 2535-2563, November.
- Mu, Xiaoyi, 2007. "Weather, storage, and natural gas price dynamics: Fundamentals and volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 46-63, January.
- Tauchen, George & Zhou, Hao, 2011.
"Realized jumps on financial markets and predicting credit spreads,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 160(1), pages 102-118, January.
- George Tauchen & Hao Zhou, 2006. "Realized jumps on financial markets and predicting credit spreads," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2006-35, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Ederington, Louis H & Lee, Jae Ha, 1993. "How Markets Process Information: News Releases and Volatility," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 48(4), pages 1161-1191, September.
- Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen, 2004.
"Power and Bipower Variation with Stochastic Volatility and Jumps,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 2(1), pages 1-37.
- Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2003. "Power and bipower variation with stochastic volatility and jumps," Economics Papers 2003-W17, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- Gerald D. Gay & Betty J. Simkins & Marian Turac, 2009. "Analyst forecasts and price discovery in futures markets: The case of natural gas storage," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(5), pages 451-477, May.
- Merton, Robert C, 1976. "The Impact on Option Pricing of Specification Error in the Underlying Stock Price Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 31(2), pages 333-350, May.
- Harris, Milton & Raviv, Artur, 1993. "Differences of Opinion Make a Horse Race," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(3), pages 473-506.
- Karpoff, Jonathan M, 1986. "A Theory of Trading Volume," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 41(5), pages 1069-1087, December.
- Michael J. Fleming & Eli M. Remolona, 1999. "Price Formation and Liquidity in the U.S. Treasury Market: The Response to Public Information," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 54(5), pages 1901-1915, October.
- Scott C. Linn & Zhen Zhu, 2004. "Natural gas prices and the gas storage report: Public news and volatility in energy futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(3), pages 283-313, March.
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Farhangdoost, Sara & Etienne, Xiaoli L., 2020. "Time-Varying Storage Announcement Effect in Natural Gas Market," 2020 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, Kansas City, Missouri 304476, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
- Misund, Bård & Oglend, Atle, 2016.
"Supply and demand determinants of natural gas price volatility in the U.K.: A vector autoregression approach,"
Energy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 178-189.
- Misund, Bård & Oglend, Atle, 2015. "Supply and Demand Determinants of Natural Gas Price Volatility in the U.K.: A Vector Autoregression Approach," UiS Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2015/10, University of Stavanger.
- Wang, Lijun & An, Haizhong & Liu, Xiaojia & Huang, Xuan, 2016. "Selecting dynamic moving average trading rules in the crude oil futures market using a genetic approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 1608-1618.
- Tong, Yuan & Wan, Ning & Dai, Xingyu & Bi, Xiaoyi & Wang, Qunwei, 2022. "China's energy stock market jumps: To what extent does the COVID-19 pandemic play a part?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
- Olivier Rousse & Benoît Sévi, 2017. "Informed Trading in Oil-Futures Market," Working Papers hal-01460186, HAL.
- Rousse, Olivier & Sévi, Benoît, 2016.
"Informed Trading in Oil-Futures Market,"
ESP: Energy Scenarios and Policy
249788, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
- Rousse, O. & Sévi, B., 2016. "Informed trading in oil-futures market," Working Papers 2016-07, Grenoble Applied Economics Laboratory (GAEL).
- Olivier Rousse & Benoît Sévi, 2016. "Informed Trading in Oil-Futures Market," Working Papers 2016.70, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
- Olivier Rousse & Benoît Sévi, 2016. "Informed Trading in Oil-Futures Market," Working Papers hal-01410093, HAL.
- Olivier Rousse & Benoît Sévi, 2017. "Informed trading in oil futures markets," Post-Print hal-02089758, HAL.
- Olivier Rousse & Benoît Sévi, 2017. "Informed trading in oil futures markets," Post-Print hal-02089772, HAL.
- Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Seong-Min Yoon, 2019.
"OPEC News Announcement Effect on Volatility in the Crude Oil Market: A Reconsideration,"
Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(4), pages 1-23, December.
- Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Seong-Min Yoon, 2017. "OPEC News Announcement Effect on Volatility in the Crude Oil Market: A Reconsideration," Working Papers 201754, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Ahmad, Wasim & Prakash, Ravi & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Chahal, Rishman Jot Kaur & Rahman, Md. Lutfur & Dutta, Anupam, 2020. "On the intraday dynamics of oil price and exchange rate: What can we learn from China and India?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
- Ding, Ashley, 2021. "A state-preference volatility index for the natural gas market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Molnár, Peter & Plíhal, Tomáš & Širaňová, Mária, 2020. "Impact of macroeconomic news, regulation and hacking exchange markets on the volatility of bitcoin," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
- Yanting Chen & Peter R. Hartley & Yihui Lan, 2023. "Temperature, storage, and natural gas futures prices," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(4), pages 549-575, April.
- Tian, Xiao & Duong, Huu Nhan & Kalev, Petko S., 2019. "Information content of the limit order book for crude oil futures price volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 584-597.
- Song-Zan Chiou-Wei & Sheng-Hung Chen & Wei-Hung Chen, 2023. "Asymmetric Effects of Prices and Storage on Rig Counts: Evidence from the US Natural Gas and Crude Oil Markets," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(15), pages 1-25, August.
- Chiou-Wei, Song-Zan & Chen, Sheng-Hung & Zhu, Zhen, 2020. "Natural gas price, market fundamentals and hedging effectiveness," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 321-337.
- Tore S. Kleppe & Atle Oglend, 2019. "Can limits‐to‐arbitrage from bounded storage improve commodity term‐structure modeling?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(7), pages 865-889, July.
- Anabelle Couleau & Teresa Serra & Philip Garcia, 2020. "Are Corn Futures Prices Getting “Jumpy”?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(2), pages 569-588, March.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Jiang, George J. & Oomen, Roel C.A., 2008. "Testing for jumps when asset prices are observed with noise-a "swap variance" approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 144(2), pages 352-370, June.
- Maneesoonthorn, Worapree & Martin, Gael M. & Forbes, Catherine S., 2020.
"High-frequency jump tests: Which test should we use?,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(2), pages 478-487.
- Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Gael M. Martin & Catherine S. Forbes, 2017. "High-Frequency Jump Tests: Which Test Should We Use?," Papers 1708.09520, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2020.
- Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Gael M. Martin & Catherine S. Forbes, 2020. "High-Frequency Jump Tests: Which Test Should We Use?," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 3/20, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Christensen, Kim & Oomen, Roel & Podolskij, Mark, 2010.
"Realised quantile-based estimation of the integrated variance,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 159(1), pages 74-98, November.
- Kim Christensen & Roel Oomen & Mark Podolskij, 2009. "Realised Quantile-Based Estimation of the Integrated Variance," CREATES Research Papers 2009-27, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Kim Christensen & Roel Oomen & Mark Podolskij, 2010. "Realised quantile-based estimation of the integrated variance," Post-Print hal-00732538, HAL.
- Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Gael M. Martin & Catherine S. Forbes, 2017. "Dynamic asset price jumps and the performance of high frequency tests and measures," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 14/17, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Zhou, Haigang & Zhu, John Qi, 2019. "Firm characteristics and jump dynamics in stock prices around earnings announcements," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
- Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Gael M Martin & Catherine S Forbes, 2018. "Dynamic price jumps: The performance of high frequency tests and measures, and the robustness of inference," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 17/18, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Evans, Kevin P., 2011. "Intraday jumps and US macroeconomic news announcements," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(10), pages 2511-2527, October.
- Christensen, Kim & Oomen, Roel C.A. & Podolskij, Mark, 2014.
"Fact or friction: Jumps at ultra high frequency,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(3), pages 576-599.
- Kim Christensen & Roel Oomen & Mark Podolskij, 2011. "Fact or friction: Jumps at ultra high frequency," CREATES Research Papers 2011-19, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Hanousek Jan & Kočenda Evžen & Novotný Jan, 2012.
"The identification of price jumps,"
Monte Carlo Methods and Applications, De Gruyter, vol. 18(1), pages 53-77, January.
- Jan Hanousek & Evzen Kocenda & Jan Novotny, 2011. "The Identification of Price Jumps," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp434, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
- Corsi, Fulvio & Pirino, Davide & Renò, Roberto, 2010.
"Threshold bipower variation and the impact of jumps on volatility forecasting,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 159(2), pages 276-288, December.
- Fulvio Corsi & Davide Pirino & Roberto Renò, 2010. "Threshold bipower variation and the impact of jumps on volatility forecasting," Post-Print hal-00741630, HAL.
- Fulvio Corsi & Davide Pirino & Roberto Reno', 2010. "Threshold Bipower Variation and the Impact of Jumps on Volatility Forecasting," LEM Papers Series 2010/11, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
- Dungey, Mardi & McKenzie, Michael & Smith, L. Vanessa, 2009.
"Empirical evidence on jumps in the term structure of the US Treasury Market,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 430-445, June.
- Mardi Dungey & Michael McKenzie & Vanessa Smith, 2007. "Empirical Evidence On Jumps In The Term Structure Of The Us Treasury Market," CAMA Working Papers 2007-25, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Liu, Yi & Liu, Huifang & Zhang, Lei, 2019. "Modeling and forecasting return jumps using realized variation measures," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 63-80.
- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Per Frederiksen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2010.
"Continuous-time models, realized volatilities, and testable distributional implications for daily stock returns,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(2), pages 233-261.
- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Per Houmann Frederiksen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2007. "Continuous-Time Models, Realized Volatilities, and Testable Distributional Implications for Daily Stock Returns," CREATES Research Papers 2007-21, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Tim Bollerslev & Morten Ø. Nielsen & Per Houmann Frederiksen & Torben G. Andersen, 2008. "Continuous-time Models, Realized Volatilities, And Testable Distributional Implications For Daily Stock Returns," Working Paper 1173, Economics Department, Queen's University.
- Christophe Chorro & Florian Ielpo & Benoît Sévi, 2017. "The contribution of jumps to forecasting the density of returns," Post-Print halshs-01442618, HAL.
- Eric Jacquier & Cedric Okou, 2013. "Disentangling Continuous Volatility from Jumps in Long-Run Risk-Return Relationships," CIRANO Working Papers 2013s-14, CIRANO.
- Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Dobrev, Dobrislav, 2007.
"No-arbitrage semi-martingale restrictions for continuous-time volatility models subject to leverage effects, jumps and i.i.d. noise: Theory and testable distributional implications,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 138(1), pages 125-180, May.
- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Dobrislav Dobrev, 2007. "No-Arbitrage Semi-Martingale Restrictions for Continuous-Time Volatility Models subject to Leverage Effects, Jumps and i.i.d. Noise: Theory and Testable Distributional Implications," NBER Working Papers 12963, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Chorro, Christophe & Ielpo, Florian & Sévi, Benoît, 2020. "The contribution of intraday jumps to forecasting the density of returns," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
- Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Huang, Xin, 2011.
"A reduced form framework for modeling volatility of speculative prices based on realized variation measures,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 160(1), pages 176-189, January.
- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Xin Huang, 2007. "A Reduced Form Framework for Modeling Volatility of Speculative Prices based on Realized Variation Measures," CREATES Research Papers 2007-14, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Chaboud, Alain P. & Chiquoine, Benjamin & Hjalmarsson, Erik & Loretan, Mico, 2010.
"Frequency of observation and the estimation of integrated volatility in deep and liquid financial markets,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 212-240, March.
- Alain P. Chaboud & Benjamin Chiquoine & Erik Hjalmarsson & Mico Loretan, 2007. "Frequency of observation and the estimation of integrated volatility in deep and liquid financial markets," International Finance Discussion Papers 905, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Alain Chaboud & Benjamin Chiquoine & Erik Hjalmarsson & Mico Loretan, 2008. "Frequency of observation and the estimation of integrated volatility in deep and liquid financial markets," BIS Working Papers 249, Bank for International Settlements.
- Liu, Wenwen & Zhang, Chang & Qiao, Gaoxiu & Xu, Lei, 2022. "Impact of network investor sentiment and news arrival on jumps," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
More about this item
Keywords
Realized variation; Bipower variation; Intraday jump statistics; Energy futures price; Trading volume behavior and inventory news events;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
- G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:48:y:2015:i:c:p:336-349. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/eneco .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.