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The asymmetric effect of crude oil prices on stock prices in major international financial markets

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  • Jiang, Wei
  • Liu, Yan

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to explore the potential asymmetric impacts of positive and negative shocks in crude oil prices on stock prices in six major international financial markets which include China, Hong Kong, America, Japan, Britain, and Germany. We test for these asymmetric effects on 8 major international financial markets indices over the 2007M01–2020M03 periods. Our independent measures include the prices of Brent crude oil futures and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures. We use the nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model proposed by Shin et al. (2014), which can capture both short- and long-run nonlinearities through positive and negative partial sum decompositions of the explanatory variables. This research finds that positive and negative fluctuations of oil price have asymmetric effects on stock price index in four financial markets, but the performance of the asymmetry is different. Specifically, the impacts of volatility in oil prices on two indices of Chinese stock prices are different, and the asymmetric effects of oil price volatility on stock price indices in China and other financial markets are significantly different.

Suggested Citation

  • Jiang, Wei & Liu, Yan, 2021. "The asymmetric effect of crude oil prices on stock prices in major international financial markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:56:y:2021:i:c:s1062940820302382
    DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2020.101357
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    Cited by:

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    2. Zhao-Yong Sun & Wei-Chiao Huang, 2023. "The effects of unexpected crude oil price shocks on Chinese stock markets," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 1683-1697, June.
    3. Yuan, Di & Li, Sufang & Li, Rong & Zhang, Feipeng, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty, oil and stock markets in BRIC: Evidence from quantiles analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    4. Zhu, Huiming & Chen, Yiwen & Ren, Yinghua & Xing, Zhanming & Hau, Liya, 2022. "Time-frequency causality and dependence structure between crude oil, EPU and Chinese industry stock: Evidence from multiscale quantile perspectives," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    5. Rakesh Shahani & Riya Paliwal, 2023. "An empirical investigation of the impact of spillover dynamics from crude to NSE Nifty Index during and prior to the COVID-19 pandemic period," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(8), pages 1-21, August.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Crude oil prices; Stock prices; Asymmetries; Nonlinear ARDL model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • P43 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Other Economic Systems - - - Finance; Public Finance

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