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What drives the German current account? Household savings, capital investments and public policies

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  • Ruppert, Kilian
  • Stähler, Nikolai

Abstract

In this paper, we analyze structural changes and dynamic adjustments in a three-region open-economy New Keynesian model with search and matching labor market and a life-cycle structure to investigate the driving forces of the German current account over time. We show that population aging as well as several tax, labor market and pension reforms led to an increase in the household savings rate in Germany. Tight fiscal policy and a domestic corporate savings glut reduced investment opportunities notably after 2010. Together with productivity growth in the rest of the world, this significantly contributes to the German current account surplus since the early 2000s.

Suggested Citation

  • Ruppert, Kilian & Stähler, Nikolai, 2022. "What drives the German current account? Household savings, capital investments and public policies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:108:y:2022:i:c:s0264999322000153
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2022.105769
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Global imbalances; Population aging; Labor market reforms; Fiscal policy; DSGE modelling;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H2 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue
    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory

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