IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/agisys/v199y2022ics0308521x22000452.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Farm-planning under risk: An application of decision analysis and portfolio theory for the assessment of crop diversification strategies in horticultural systems

Author

Listed:
  • Burbano-Figueroa, Oscar
  • Sierra-Monroy, Alexandra
  • David-Hinestroza, Adriana
  • Whitney, Cory
  • Borgemeister, Christian
  • Luedeling, Eike

Abstract

Even though diversification of horticultural production systems allows farmers to cope with risks and uncertainties, strategies for raising profitability usually aim to improve the productivity of monocultures rather than pursuing diversification. Horticultural production systems are often highly diversified in terms of land use and planted crops.

Suggested Citation

  • Burbano-Figueroa, Oscar & Sierra-Monroy, Alexandra & David-Hinestroza, Adriana & Whitney, Cory & Borgemeister, Christian & Luedeling, Eike, 2022. "Farm-planning under risk: An application of decision analysis and portfolio theory for the assessment of crop diversification strategies in horticultural systems," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:agisys:v:199:y:2022:i:c:s0308521x22000452
    DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2022.103409
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0308521X22000452
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.agsy.2022.103409?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. David L. Dicks & Paolo Fulghieri, 2019. "Uncertainty Aversion and Systemic Risk," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 127(3), pages 1118-1155.
    2. Kerstin Bergk & Mario Brandtner & Wolfgang Kürsten, 2021. "Portfolio selection with tail nonlinearly transformed risk measures—a comparison with mean-CVaR analysis," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(6), pages 1011-1025, June.
    3. Paut, Raphaël & Sabatier, Rodolphe & Tchamitchian, Marc, 2019. "Reducing risk through crop diversification: An application of portfolio theory to diversified horticultural systems," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 123-130.
    4. Cristina Echevarria, 1998. "A Three-Factor Agricultural Production Function: The Case of Canada," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(3), pages 63-75.
    5. Laborde, David & Piñeiro, Valeria, 2018. "Monitoring agricultural productivity for sustainable production and R&D planning," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 12, pages 1-11.
    6. Rosenzweig, Mark R & Binswanger, Hans P, 1993. "Wealth, Weather Risk and the Composition and Profitability of Agricultural Investments," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 103(416), pages 56-78, January.
    7. S. V. Stoyanov & S. T. Rachev & F. J. Fabozzi, 2007. "Optimal Financial Portfolios," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(5), pages 401-436.
    8. Barkley, Andrew P. & Peterson, Hikaru Hanawa & Shroyer, James, 2010. "Wheat Variety Selection to Maximize Returns and Minimize Risk: An Application of Portfolio Theory," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 42(1), pages 1-17, February.
    9. Daniel E. Schindler & Ray Hilborn & Brandon Chasco & Christopher P. Boatright & Thomas P. Quinn & Lauren A. Rogers & Michael S. Webster, 2010. "Population diversity and the portfolio effect in an exploited species," Nature, Nature, vol. 465(7298), pages 609-612, June.
    10. Fuglie, Keith O. & Rada, Nicholas E., 2013. "Resources, Policies, and Agricultural Productivity in Sub-Saharan Africa," Economic Research Report 145368, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    11. Thomas W. Hertel & Stephanie D. Rosch, 2010. "Climate Change, Agriculture, and Poverty," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 32(3), pages 355-385.
    12. Harry Markowitz, 1952. "Portfolio Selection," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 7(1), pages 77-91, March.
    13. Anderson, Jock R. & Dillon, John L. & Hardaker, Brian, 1977. "Agricultural Decision Analysis," Monographs: Applied Economics, AgEcon Search, number 288652, July.
    14. Dixon, John M. & Weerahewa, Jeevika & Hellin, Jon & Rola-Rubzen, Maria Fay & Huang, Jikun & Kumar, Shalander & Das, Anup & Qureshi, Muhammad Ejaz & Krupnik, Timothy J. & Shideed, Kamil & Jat, Mangi L., 2021. "Response and resilience of Asian agrifood systems to COVID-19: An assessment across twenty-five countries and four regional farming and food systems," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    15. Darnhofer, Ika, 2021. "Resilience or how do we enable agricultural systems to ride the waves of unexpected change?," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    16. Luz Maria Castro & Baltazar Calvas & Thomas Knoke, 2015. "Ecuadorian Banana Farms Should Consider Organic Banana with Low Price Risks in Their Land-Use Portfolios," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(3), pages 1-23, March.
    17. Stefan Baumgärtner & Martin F. Quaas, 2010. "Managing increasing environmental risks through agrobiodiversity and agrienvironmental policies," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 41(5), pages 483-496, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Alvarez, Sergio & Larkin, Sherry L. & Ropicki, Andrew, 2017. "Optimizing provision of ecosystem services using modern portfolio theory," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 27(PA), pages 25-37.
    2. Vinent, Orencio Duran & Johnston, Robert J. & Kirwan, Matthew L. & Leroux, Anke D. & Martin, Vance L., 2019. "Coastal dynamics and adaptation to uncertain sea level rise: Optimal portfolios for salt marsh migration," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    3. David J. Pannell, 1991. "Pests and pesticides, risk and risk aversion," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 5(4), pages 361-383, August.
    4. Gomez-Limon, Jose A. & Riesgo, Laura, 2004. "Irrigation water pricing: differential impacts on irrigated farms," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 31(1), pages 47-66, July.
    5. Lien, Gudbrand, 2002. "Non-parametric estimation of decision makers' risk aversion," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 27(1), pages 75-83, May.
    6. Susanne Neuner & Thomas Knoke, 2017. "Economic consequences of altered survival of mixed or pure Norway spruce under a dryer and warmer climate," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 140(3), pages 519-531, February.
    7. Haile, Kaleab K. & Nillesen, Eleonora & Tirivayi, Nyasha, 2020. "Impact of formal climate risk transfer mechanisms on risk-aversion: Empirical evidence from rural Ethiopia," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    8. Víctor Adame-García & Fernando Fernández-Rodríguez & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2017. "“Resolution of optimization problems and construction of efficient portfolios: An application to the Euro Stoxx 50 index"," IREA Working Papers 201702, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Feb 2017.
    9. Paydar, Z. & Qureshi, M.E., 2012. "Irrigation water management in uncertain conditions—Application of Modern Portfolio Theory," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 47-54.
    10. Lien, Gudbrand & Hardaker, J. Brian & Asseldonk, Marcel A.P.M. van & Richardson, James W., 2009. "Risk programming and sparse data: how to get more reliable results," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 101(1-2), pages 42-48, June.
    11. Tóth, M. & Lančarič, D. & Piterková, A. & Savov, R., 2014. "Systematic Risk in Agriculture: A Case of Slovakia," AGRIS on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Faculty of Economics and Management, vol. 6(4), pages 1-9, December.
    12. Mitter, Hermine & Heumesser, Christine & Schmid, Erwin, 2014. "Modelling robust crop production portfolios to assess agricultural vulnerability to climate change," 2014 International Congress, August 26-29, 2014, Ljubljana, Slovenia 182702, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    13. Luz Maria Castro & Baltazar Calvas & Thomas Knoke, 2015. "Ecuadorian Banana Farms Should Consider Organic Banana with Low Price Risks in Their Land-Use Portfolios," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(3), pages 1-23, March.
    14. Maller, Ross & Roberts, Steven & Tourky, Rabee, 2016. "The large-sample distribution of the maximum Sharpe ratio with and without short sales," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 194(1), pages 138-152.
    15. Mallory, Mindy L. & Ando, Amy W., 2014. "Implementing efficient conservation portfolio design," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 1-18.
    16. Jolejole-Foreman, Maria Christina & Baylis, Katherine R. & Lipper, Leslie, 2012. "Land Degradation’s Implications on Agricultural Value of Production in Ethiopia: A look inside the bowl," 2012 Conference, August 18-24, 2012, Foz do Iguacu, Brazil 126251, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    17. Cumming, Robert J. & Parton, Kevin A., 1990. "An Investigation of the Relationship between Business and Financial Risk using Target - MOTAD: A Case Study in the Victorian Mallee," 1990 Conference (34th), February 13-15, 1990, Brisbane, Australia 145003, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    18. Amita Sharma & Sebastian Utz & Aparna Mehra, 2017. "Omega-CVaR portfolio optimization and its worst case analysis," OR Spectrum: Quantitative Approaches in Management, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research e.V., vol. 39(2), pages 505-539, March.
    19. Maria-Teresa Bosch-Badia & Joan Montllor-Serrats & Maria-Antonia Tarrazon-Rodon, 2017. "Analysing assets’ performance inside a portfolio: From crossed beta to the net risk premium ratio," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1270251-127, January.
    20. Simtowe, Franklin & Amondo, Emily & Marenya, Paswel & Rahut, Dil & Sonder, Kai & Erenstein, Olaf, 2019. "Impacts of drought-tolerant maize varieties on productivity, risk, and resource use: Evidence from Uganda," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:agisys:v:199:y:2022:i:c:s0308521x22000452. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/agsy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.