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Cointegration Analysis Of Tourism Demand For Turkey

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  • KETENCI, Natalya

Abstract

This paper estimates the tourism demand model for Turkey from 14 countries: Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Denmark, France, Germany, Greece, Holland, Italy, Russia, Sweden, Switzerland, the United Kingdom and the United States. Different approaches were used to find cointegration in the considered model for the period from 1996 to 2000 on a monthly basis. From our results we found evidence at the high significance level of a long-run cointegration relationship among the variables. We found that income plays a more important role in the holiday-making decisions of tourists than the relative prices of the holiday destination. Inclusion in the model substitution destination decreased the degree of significance of relative Turkish prices in the demand model.

Suggested Citation

  • KETENCI, Natalya, 2010. "Cointegration Analysis Of Tourism Demand For Turkey," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 10(1).
    • Handle: RePEc:eaa:aeinde:v:10:y:2010:i:1_6
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Lopez-Guzman, T & Hernandez-Mogollon, J.M & Di Clemente, E, 2014. "Gastronomic Tourism as a Motor of Local and Regional Development," Regional and Sectoral Economic Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 14(1), pages 95-104.
    2. Karma Emiljan, 2023. "Patriotic Tourism Demand in Albania: A System GMM Model Approach," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 18(2), pages 186-196, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    tourism demand; elasticity; cointegration; vector error correction.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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