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El transporte modal de carga fluvial: Un estudio de la reactivación del río Magdalena

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  • Gustavo Alberto Zambrano

Abstract

Este trabajo examina la demanda modal de transporte de carga en el Río Magdalena, para estudiar los efectos que tendrá el proyecto de rehabilitación de la navegabilidad en él. Utilizando información recogida en una encuesta a 30 empresas importadoras y exportadoras en Bogotá, se construyen modelos elección discreta que estiman las probabilidades de utilizar la vía fluvial, así como las elasticidades ante cambios en tarifas de transporte, tiempos de trayecto, confiabilidad y regularidad. Se encuentra que la tarifa, el tiempo, y la confiabilidad del servicio que ofrezca el transporte por el río afectarían la probabilidad de utilizarlo. El modelo de mejor bondad de ajuste predice probabilidades de utilizar el modo fluvial de entre 10,5% y 24,5%, dependiendo de la eficiencia de las variables mencionadas. Los resultados sugieren la necesidad de adelantar inversiones que permitan que el Rio Magdalena no solo sea competitivo en costos, sino también en tiempos de viaje y puntualidad.

Suggested Citation

  • Gustavo Alberto Zambrano, 2016. "El transporte modal de carga fluvial: Un estudio de la reactivación del río Magdalena," Revista Economía y Región, Universidad Tecnológica de Bolívar, vol. 10(2), pages 183-217, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000411:015315
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Luis Armando Galvis-Aponte & Camilo Andrés Quintero-Fragozo, 2017. "Geografía económica de los municipios ribereños del Magdalena," Documentos de trabajo sobre Economía Regional y Urbana 265, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    2. Tapia, Rodrigo Javier & dos Santos Senna, Luiz Afonso & Larranaga, Ana Margarita & Cybis, Helena Beatriz Bettella, 2019. "Joint mode and port choice for soy production in Buenos Aires province, Argentina," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 100-118.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Transporte de carga; elección modal; Río Magdalena;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R41 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Transportation: Demand, Supply, and Congestion; Travel Time; Safety and Accidents; Transportation Noise
    • R42 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Government and Private Investment Analysis; Road Maintenance; Transportation Planning
    • H54 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Infrastructures

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