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¿Cómo se comportan las tasas de desempleo en siete ciudades colombianas?

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GAMARRA, José R. ()

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Abstract

A pesar de su importancia y al igual que otras variables, la tasa de desempleo usualmente ha sido analizada desde una perspectiva nacional, desconociendo características de cada ciudad o región. No obstante las claras diferencias regionales en el entorno colombiano, muy pocos trabajos han abordado el problema partiendo de esas diferencias. En este trabajo se utilizan las tasas de desempleo de siete ciudades para analizar similitudes y diferencias. A partir de la construcción de un índice de dispersión de las series se aprecia un movimiento procíclico de las diferencias, es decir, aumentos en las diferencias al disminuir el desempleo. Del mismo modo, al aumentar el desempleo las diferencias tienden a disminuir. Adicionalmente, mediante el análisis de cointegración de Johansen se logra identificar relaciones de largo plazo entre las series consideradas, al igual que mecanismos de ajuste de las diferencias en el corto plazo. A partir de este análisis se encuentra evidencia de una explicación de equilibrio de largo plazo, al igual que efectos de desequilibrios en el corto plazo.

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Article provided by UNIVERSIDAD DEL ROSARIO - FACULTAD DE ECONOMÍA in its journal REVISTA DE ECONOMÍA DEL ROSARIO.

Volume (Year): (2006)
Issue (Month): ()
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Handle: RePEc:col:000151:003791

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  1. J. Paul Elhorst, 2003. "The Mystery of Regional Unemployment Differentials: Theoretical and Empirical Explanations," Journal of Economic Surveys, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 17(5), pages 709-748, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Ana María Iregui & Jesús Otero, 2002. "On The Dynamics Of Unemployment In A Developing Economy: Colombia," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 003298, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Luis Eduardo Arango T. & Carlos Esteban Posada, 2001. "El Desempleo En Colombia," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 002495, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Marston, Stephen T, 1985. "Two Views of the Geographic Distribution of Unemployment," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 100(1), pages 57-79, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Roberto Bande & Melchor Fernandez & Víctor Manuel Montuenga, 2005. "Regional Unemployment in Spain - Disparities, Business Cycle and Wage Setting," ERSA conference papers ersa05p489, European Regional Science Association. [Downloadable!]
  6. Brunello, Giorgio & Lupi, Claudio & Ordine, Patrizia, 2001. "Widening differences in Italian regional unemployment," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(1), pages 103-129, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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