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Time Series Analysis, Cointegration, and Applications

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Author Info
Granger, Clive W. J. (University of California, San Diego)

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Abstract

The two prize winners in Economics this year would describe themselves as "Econometricians," so I thought that I should start by explaining that term. One can begin with the ancient subject of Mathematics which is largely concerned with the discovery of relationships between deterministic variables using a rigorous argument. (A deterministic variable is one whose value is known with certainty.) However, by the middle of the last millennium it became clear that some objects were not deterministic, they had to be described with the use of probabilities, so that Mathematics grew a substantial sub-field known as "Statistics." This later became involved with the analysis of data and a number of methods have been developed for data having what may be called "standard properties."

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File URL: http://nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economics/laureates/2003/granger-lecture.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Nobel Prize Committee in its series Nobel Prize in Economics documents with number 2003-7.

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Length: 7 pages
Date of creation: 08 Dec 2003
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:ris:nobelp:2003_007

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Web page: http://www.nobelprize.org/

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Related research
Keywords: time series; cointegration;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Granger, C. W. J. & Newbold, P., 1974. "Spurious regressions in econometrics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 2(2), pages 111-120, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
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  1. Bevilacqua, Franco, 2006. "Random walks and cointegration relationships in international parity conditions between Germany and USA for the post Bretton-Woods period," UNU-MERIT Working Paper Series 012, United Nations University, Maastricht Economic and social Research and training centre on Innovation and Technology. [Downloadable!]
  2. Bevilacqua, Franco, 2006. "Random walks and cointegration relationships in international parity conditions between Germany and USA for the Bretton-Woods period," UNU-MERIT Working Paper Series 016, United Nations University, Maastricht Economic and social Research and training centre on Innovation and Technology. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-10-24.


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