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Are exports a monotonic function of exchange rate volatility? Evidence from disaggregated pork exports

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Author Info
Olivier Bonroy
Jean-Philippe Gervais
Bruno Larue

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Abstract

Production and marketing lags in agri-food supply chains often force agricultural producers and food processors to commit to output targets before prices and exchange rates are realized. A theoretical model illustrates how the processor's degree of risk aversion and domestic sales may cause the relationship between volatility of the exchange rate and exports to be non-monotonic. The relationship between exchange rate volatility and Quebec pork exports to the United States and Japan is investigated using linear and non-linear estimation methods. The results support the hypothesis that the relationship between exports and volatility is non-monotonic.

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File URL: http://economics.ca/cgi/xms?jab=v40n1/CJEv40n1p0127.pdf
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Canadian Economics Association in its journal Canadian Journal of Economics.

Volume (Year): 40 (2007)
Issue (Month): 1 (February)
Pages: 127-154
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Handle: RePEc:cje:issued:v:40:y:2007:i:1:p:127-154

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Postal: Canadian Economics Association Prof. Steven Ambler, Secretary-Treasurer c/o Olivier Lebert, CEA/CJE/CPP Office CIREQ-C.R.D.E., Université de Montréal C.P. 6128, succursale Centre-ville Montréal, Québec, H3C 3J7, Canada
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