Advanced Search
MyIDEAS: Login to save this article or follow this journal

Kurzfristige Branchenprognosen auf Basis von Ergebnissen des ifo Konjunkturtests

Contents:

Author Info

  • Georg Goldrian
Registered author(s):

    Abstract

    Die Ergebnisse des Konjunkturtests des ifo Instituts gelten allgemein als Frühindikatoren für die aktuelle konjunkturelle Entwicklung in Deutschland. Schon die Beurteilung der Lage hat einen Veröffentlichungsvorsprung von etwa sechs Wochen gegenüber den entsprechenden Daten der amtlichen Statistik. Die Erwartungen weisen darüber hinaus in die Zukunft von drei bis sechs Monaten. Führt man die Befragungsergebnisse mit und ohne Daten der amtlichen Statistik in Modellansätzen zusammen, so kann man die kurzfristige konjunkturelle Entwicklung von wirtschaftlichen Größen, z.B. Konjunkturtendenzen auf Branchenebene, zuverlässig prognostizieren.

    Download Info

    If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
    File URL: http://www.cesifo-group.de/portal/page/portal/DocBase_Content/ZS/ZS-ifo_Schnelldienst/zs-sd-2003/ifosd_2003_8_4.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Schnelldienst.

    Volume (Year): 56 (2003)
    Issue (Month): 08 (04)
    Pages: 31-33

    as in new window
    Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:56:y:2003:i:08:p:31-33

    Contact details of provider:
    Postal: Poschingerstrasse 5, 81679 Munich, Germany
    Phone: +49 (89) 9224-0
    Fax: +49 (89) 985369
    Email:
    Web page: http://www.cesifo-group.de
    More information through EDIRC

    Related research

    Keywords: Branchenkonjunktur; Branchenentwicklung; Prognose;

    Find related papers by JEL classification:

    References

    References listed on IDEAS
    Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
    as in new window
    1. Wolfgang Nierhaus & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2003. "Methoden der Konjunkturprognose," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(04), pages 7-23, 02.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as in new window

    Cited by:
    1. Georg Goldrian, 2004. "Ein Frühindikator für die Entwicklung des Bruttoinlandsprodukts," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(07), pages 41-43, 04.
    2. Georg Goldrian, 2003. "Zur Aussagekraft der Ergebnisse des ifo Konjunkturtests auf regionaler Ebene," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(11), pages 30-33, 06.

    Lists

    This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:56:y:2003:i:08:p:31-33. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Klaus Wohlrabe).

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

    If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.