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Prognosestopp – ja oder nein?

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  • Wolfgang Nierhaus

    ()

Abstract

Im laufenden Jahr mussten die Prognosen für Deutschland und die Weltwirtschaft von allen nationalen wie internationalen Prognoseinstitutionen scharf »nach unten« revidiert werden. Dies hat in der Öffentlichkeit teilweise zu Irritationen und es wurde auf die Gefahr einer „self-fulfilling prophecy“ verwiesen. Konjunkturprognosen sind und bleiben aber, trotz eines gewissen Ausmaßes an Unsicherheit, für die Orientierung der Entscheidungsträger von Wirtschaft und Politik unentbehrlich.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Schnelldienst.

Volume (Year): 61 (2008)
Issue (Month): 24 (December)
Pages: 83

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Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:61:y:2008:i:24:p:83

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Keywords: Konjunkturprognose; Wirtschaftsprognose; Wirtschaftsforschunginstitut; Deutschland;

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  1. Wolfgang Nierhaus & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2003. "Methoden der Konjunkturprognose," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(04), pages 7-23, 02.
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