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Forecasting Cinema Attendance at the Movie Show Level: Evidence from Poland

Author

Listed:
  • Baranowski Paweł

    (Department of Econometrics, Faculty of Economics and Sociology, University of Łódź, Łódź, Poland)

  • Korczak Karol
  • Zając Jarosław

    (Department of Computer Science in Economics, Faculty of Economics and Sociology, University of Łódź, Łódź, Poland)

Abstract

Background: Cinema programmes are set in advance (usually with a weekly frequency), which motivates us to investigate the short-term forecasting of attendance. In the literature on the cinema industry, the issue of attendance forecasting has gained less research attention compared to modelling the aggregate performance of movies. Furthermore, unlike most existing studies, we use data on attendance at the individual show level (179,103 shows) rather than aggregate box office sales.

Suggested Citation

  • Baranowski Paweł & Korczak Karol & Zając Jarosław, 2020. "Forecasting Cinema Attendance at the Movie Show Level: Evidence from Poland," Business Systems Research, Sciendo, vol. 11(1), pages 73-88, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:bit:bsrysr:v:11:y:2020:i:1:p:73-88:n:6
    DOI: 10.2478/bsrj-2020-0006
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    cinema attendance; movie; IMDb; forecasting; data mining; decision support models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L82 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Entertainment; Media
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • Z11 - Other Special Topics - - Cultural Economics - - - Economics of the Arts and Literature

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