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Are real GDP levels nonstationary across Central and Eastern European countries?

Author

Listed:
  • Pei-Long Shen

    (Shanxi University of Finance and Economics)

  • Chih-Wei Su

    (Shanxi University of Finance and Economics)

  • Hsu-Ling Chang

    (Ling Tung University)

Abstract

This study applies the Sequential Panel Selection Method (SPSM) proposed by Chortareas and Kapetanios (2009) to investigate and assess the non-stationary properties of whether real GDP follows a trend stationary or a difference stationary process for Central Eastern European (CEE) countries. SPSM can classify the whole panel into a group of stationary series and a group of non-stationary series. We clearly identify how many and which series in the panel are stationary processes and provide robust evidence clearly indicating that per capita real GDP for CEE countries holds stationary for three countries. Our findings point out their per capita real GDP convergence is a mean reversion towards equilibrium values in a non-linear way. Our results have important policy implications for macroeconomic policy, modeling, testing and forecasting for these CEE countries under study.

Suggested Citation

  • Pei-Long Shen & Chih-Wei Su & Hsu-Ling Chang, 2013. "Are real GDP levels nonstationary across Central and Eastern European countries?," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 13(1), pages 99-108, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:bic:journl:v:13:y:2013:i:1:p:99-108
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Phiri, Andrew, 2018. "Robust analysis of convergence in per capita GDP in BRICS economies," MPRA Paper 86936, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Dogru, Bülent, 2015. "Is Per Capıta Real GDP Stationary in High Income OECD Countrıes? Evidence from Panel Unıt Root Test With Multiple Structural Breaks," MPRA Paper 63856, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Gökhan Konat & Fatma Zeren, 2021. "Is Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Series Stationary in EU Countries? Evidence from the RALS-CIPS Test," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 41(3), pages 1813-1825.
    4. Sakiru Solarin & Emmanuel Anoruo, 2015. "Nonlinearity and the Unit Root Hypothesis for African Per Capita Real GDP," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(4), pages 617-630, December.
    5. Radulović Marija & Kostić Milan, 2021. "Are EU Members’ Economies an “Engine” of the EU Candidates’ Economies?," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 21(2), pages 97-117, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Per Capita Real GDP; Sequential Panel Selection Method; Fourier Function; Structural Change;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • O1 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development
    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity

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