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Deterministic, Stochastic, and Segmented Trends in Aggregate Output: A Cross-Country Analysis Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Cheung, Yin-Wong
Chinn, Menzie David
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This paper examines whether output per capita in 126 countries is better described as trend or difference stationary, using appropriate finite-sample critical values. Depending upon whether one uses solely a test with a trend stationary null, or solely one with a difference stationary null, very different conclusions are obtained. This outcome suggests that it is useful to consider the tests complementary, rather than competing. The authors find that, when a definite characterization of GDP can be made, it is very likely to indicate a difference stationary process. However, the likelihood of making definite conclusions does vary positively with both income level and data quality. Copyright 1996 by Royal Economic Society.
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Article provided by Oxford University Press in its journal Oxford Economic Papers .
Volume (Year): 48 (1996)
Issue (Month): 1 (January)
Pages: 134-62
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Handle: RePEc:oup:oxecpp:v:48:y:1996:i:1:p:134-62Contact details of provider: Postal: Oxford University Press, Great Clarendon Street, Oxford OX2 6DP, UK Fax: 01865 267 985 Email: Web page: http://oep.oupjournals.org/
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