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A Stationarity Test in the Presence of an Unknown Number of Smooth Breaks

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Author Info
Ralf Becker
Walter Enders
Junsoo Lee
Abstract

Macroeconomic variables have been shown to display a wide variety of structural breaks of unknown number, duration and form. This poses a challenge since improperly modelled breaks can result in a seriously misspecified model. In this paper, we develop a new test for stationarity that approximates the unknown form of structural breaks using a selected frequency component from a Fourier approximation. Our proposed test performs quite well when breaks are gradual, and shows reasonable power. The appropriate use of the test is illustrated by examining real exchange rates in the post-Bretton Woods period. Copyright 2006 The Authors Journal compilation 2006 Blackwell Publishing Ltd.

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File URL: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1467-9892.2006.00478.x
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Journal of Time Series Analysis.

Volume (Year): 27 (2006)
Issue (Month): 3 (05)
Pages: 381-409
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Handle: RePEc:bla:jtsera:v:27:y:2006:i:3:p:381-409

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  1. Dimitris , Chrsitopoulos & Miguel , Leon-Ledesma, 2009. "International Output Convergence, Breaks, and Asymmetric Adjustment," MPRA Paper 14566, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  2. Fabio C. Bagliano & Claudio Morana, 2006. "International Macroeconomic Dynamics: a Factor Vector Autoregressive Approach," ICER Working Papers 41-2006, ICER - International Centre for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Dimitris Christopoulos, 2007. "A reassessment of the Feldstein-Horioka hypothesis of perfect capital mobility: evidence from historical data," Empirica, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 273-280, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Andrea Beltratti & Claudio Morana, 2008. "International shocks and national house prices," ICER Working Papers - Applied Mathematics Series 14-2008, ICER - International Centre for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  5. David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Lisa Xiao, . "Testing for nonlinear trends when the order of integration is unknown," Discussion Papers 09/04, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics. [Downloadable!]
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