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Nairu Estimates In Transitional Economy With Extremely High Unemployment Rate: The Case Of Republic Of Macedonia

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  • Predrag Trpeski
  • Dragan Tevdovski

Abstract

The main goal of the paper is to estimate the NAIRU for the Macedonian economy and to discuss the applicability of this indicator. The paper provides time-varying estimates for the period 1998-2012, which are obtained using the Ball and Mankiw (2002) approach, supplemented with the iterative procedure proposed by Ball (2009). The results reveal that the Macedonian NAIRU has ahumpshaped path. The estimation is based on both the LFS unemployment rate and the LFS unemployment rate corrected for employment in the grey economy. The dynamics of the estimated NAIRU stress the ability of the NAIRU to present the cyclical misbalances in a national economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Predrag Trpeski & Dragan Tevdovski, 2015. "Nairu Estimates In Transitional Economy With Extremely High Unemployment Rate: The Case Of Republic Of Macedonia," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 60(206), pages 167-186, July - Se.
    • Handle: RePEc:beo:journl:v:60:y:2015:i:206:p:167-186
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    NAIRU; unemployment; inflation; Macedonia.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity

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