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Admissible probability measurement procedures
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Cited by:
- R. Winkler & Javier Muñoz & José Cervera & José Bernardo & Gail Blattenberger & Joseph Kadane & Dennis Lindley & Allan Murphy & Robert Oliver & David Ríos-Insua, 1996. "Scoring rules and the evaluation of probabilities," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 5(1), pages 1-60, June.
- Geweke, John & Amisano, Gianni, 2011.
"Optimal prediction pools,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 164(1), pages 130-141, September.
- John Geweke & Gianni Amisano, 2008. "Optimal Prediction Pools," Working Paper series 22_08, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Amisano, Gianni & Geweke, John, 2009. "Optimal Prediction Pools," Working Paper Series 1017, European Central Bank.
- Xu, Hao & Gardoni, Paolo, 2020. "Conditional formulation for the calibration of multi-level random fields with incomplete data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
- Karl Schlag & James Tremewan & Joël Weele, 2015.
"A penny for your thoughts: a survey of methods for eliciting beliefs,"
Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 18(3), pages 457-490, September.
- Karl Schlag & James Tremewan & Joel von der Weele, 2014. "A Penny for your Thoughts: A Survey of Methods of Eliciting Beliefs," Vienna Economics Papers vie1401, University of Vienna, Department of Economics.
- Andrew Caplin & Daniel Martin & Philip Marx, 2022. "Calibrating for Class Weights by Modeling Machine Learning," Papers 2205.04613, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2022.
- Manski, Charles F., 2006.
"Interpreting the predictions of prediction markets,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 91(3), pages 425-429, June.
- Charles F. Manski, 2004. "Interpreting the Predictions of Prediction Markets," NBER Working Papers 10359, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Francesco Giancaterini & Alain Hecq & Claudio Morana, 2022.
"Is Climate Change Time-Reversible?,"
Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-18, December.
- Francesco Giancaterini & Alain Hecq & Claudio Morana, 2022. "Is climate change time reversible?," Papers 2205.07579, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2022.
- Francesco Giancaterini & Alain Hecq & Claudio Morana, 2022. "Is climate change time reversible?," Working Paper series 22-08, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, revised Dec 2022.
- Francesco Giancaterini & Alain Hecq & Claudio Morana, 2022. "Is climate change time-reversible?," Working Papers 498, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2022.
- Pamela Giustinelli & Charles F. Manski, 2018. "Survey Measures Of Family Decision Processes For Econometric Analysis Of Schooling Decisions," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 56(1), pages 81-99, January.
- Karl Schlag & James Tremewan & Joël Weele, 2015.
"A penny for your thoughts: a survey of methods for eliciting beliefs,"
Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 18(3), pages 457-490, September.
- Karl Schlag & James Tremewan & Joel van der Weele, 2014. "A Penny for Your Thoughts:A Survey of Methods for Eliciting Beliefs," Vienna Economics Papers 1401, University of Vienna, Department of Economics.
- Miller, Nolan & Resnick, Paul & Zeckhauser, Richard, 2002. "Eliciting Honest Feedback in Electronic Markets," Working Paper Series rwp02-039, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government.
- Werner Ehm & Tilmann Gneiting & Alexander Jordan & Fabian Krüger, 2016. "Of quantiles and expectiles: consistent scoring functions, Choquet representations and forecast rankings," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 78(3), pages 505-562, June.
- Jingni Yang, 2020. "The uniqueness of local proper scoring rules: the logarithmic family," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 88(2), pages 315-322, March.
- Deniz Igan & Thomas Lambert & Prachi Mishra & Eden Zhang, 2024. "The Politics of the Paycheck Protection Program," Working Papers 133, Ashoka University, Department of Economics.
- Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Blessings Majoni, 2023.
"Exact Likelihood for Inverse Gamma Stochastic Volatility Models,"
Working Paper series
23-11, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Blessings Majon, 2024. "Exact Likelihood for Inverse Gamma Stochastic Volatility Models," GRIPS Discussion Papers 24-03, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies.
- Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Blessings Majoni, 2023. "Exact Likelihood for Inverse Gamma Stochastic Volatility Models," GRIPS Discussion Papers 23-07, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies.
- George Duncan, 1978. "Binary action based estimation of propensities," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 43(1), pages 93-107, March.
- Gabriela F. Nane & Roger M. Cooke, 2024. "Scoring rules and performance, new analysis of expert judgment data," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 6(4), December.
- Robert Clemen, 2002. "Incentive contrats and strictly proper scoring rules," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 11(1), pages 167-189, June.
- Victor Jose, 2009. "A Characterization for the Spherical Scoring Rule," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 66(3), pages 263-281, March.
- J. Eric Bickel, 2007. "Some Comparisons among Quadratic, Spherical, and Logarithmic Scoring Rules," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 4(2), pages 49-65, June.
- Kenneth C. Lichtendahl & Yael Grushka-Cockayne & Robert L. Winkler, 2013. "Is It Better to Average Probabilities or Quantiles?," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 59(7), pages 1594-1611, July.
- Yanwei Jia & Jussi Keppo & Ville Satopää, 2023. "Herding in Probabilistic Forecasts," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(5), pages 2713-2732, May.
- J. Eric Bickel, 2010. "Scoring Rules and Decision Analysis Education," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 7(4), pages 346-357, December.
- Lambert, Nicolas S. & Langford, John & Wortman Vaughan, Jennifer & Chen, Yiling & Reeves, Daniel M. & Shoham, Yoav & Pennock, David M., 2015. "An axiomatic characterization of wagering mechanisms," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 389-416.
- D. J. Hand & C. Anagnostopoulos, 2023. "Notes on the H-measure of classifier performance," Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, Springer;German Classification Society - Gesellschaft für Klassifikation (GfKl);Japanese Classification Society (JCS);Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society (CLADAG);International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS), vol. 17(1), pages 109-124, March.
- George Duncan & E. Milton, 1978. "Multiple-answer multiple-choice test items: Responding and scoring through bayes and minimax strategies," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 43(1), pages 43-57, March.
- Fabian Krüger & Sebastian Lerch & Thordis Thorarinsdottir & Tilmann Gneiting, 2021. "Predictive Inference Based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo Output," International Statistical Review, International Statistical Institute, vol. 89(2), pages 274-301, August.