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The macroeconomic determinants of commodity futures volatility: Evidence from Chinese and Indian markets

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Ioannis Karakostas & Ioannis Papanastasiou & Simeon Papadopoulos & Dimitrios Giantsios, 2024. "Volatility of Precious Metals: The Case of Platinum and Palladium," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 16(4), pages 1-45, April.
  2. Christian Urom & Gideon Ndubuisi & Jude Ozor, 2021. "Economic activity, and financial and commodity markets’ shocks: An analysis of implied volatility indexes," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 165, pages 51-66.
  3. Yun-Shi Dai & Peng-Fei Dai & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2024. "The impact of geopolitical risk on the international agricultural market: Empirical analysis based on the GJR-GARCH-MIDAS model," Papers 2404.01641, arXiv.org.
  4. ap Gwilym, Rhys & Ebrahim, M. Shahid & El Alaoui, Abdelkader O. & Rahman, Hamid & Taamouti, Abderrahim, 2020. "Financial frictions and the futures pricing puzzle," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 358-371.
  5. Yuhe Zhao & Ronghua Ju, 2025. "Investor Structure and Corn Futures Price Volatility in China: Evidence Based on the Agent-Based Model," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 65(2), pages 937-961, February.
  6. Mei, Dexiang & Zhao, Chenchen & Luo, Qin & Li, Yan, 2022. "Forecasting the Chinese low-carbon index volatility," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
  7. Fang, Libing & Yu, Honghai & Xiao, Wen, 2018. "Forecasting gold futures market volatility using macroeconomic variables in the United States," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 249-259.
  8. Vincenzo Candila & Giampiero M. Gallo & Lea Petrella, 2020. "Mixed--frequency quantile regressions to forecast Value--at--Risk and Expected Shortfall," Papers 2011.00552, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2023.
  9. Qiuying Cheng & Xinyu Wang & Song Shi & Zhuqing Wang, 2025. "Heterogeneous impacts of fundamentals on gold market risk using regime switching quantile-based GARCH-MIDAS model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 69(3), pages 1411-1465, September.
  10. Salisu, Afees A. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E., 2019. "Another look at the energy-growth nexus: New insights from MIDAS regressions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 69-84.
  11. Zhang, Yongmin & Ding, Shusheng & Scheffel, Eric M., 2019. "A key determinant of commodity price Co-movement: The role of daily market liquidity," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 170-180.
  12. Ruobing Liu & Jianhui Yang & Chuan-Yang Ruan, 2019. "The Impact of Macroeconomic News on Chinese Futures," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-14, October.
  13. Ye, Wuyi & Guo, Ranran & Deschamps, Bruno & Jiang, Ying & Liu, Xiaoquan, 2021. "Macroeconomic forecasts and commodity futures volatility," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 981-994.
  14. Ding, Shusheng & Cui, Tianxiang & Zheng, Dandan & Du, Min, 2021. "The effects of commodity financialization on commodity market volatility," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
  15. Amendola, Alessandra & Candila, Vincenzo & Gallo, Giampiero M., 2019. "On the asymmetric impact of macro–variables on volatility," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 135-152.
  16. Xu Gong & Mingchao Wang & Liuguo Shao, 2022. "The impact of macro economy on the oil price volatility from the perspective of mixing frequency," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4487-4514, October.
  17. Lyu, Yongjian & Wei, Yu & Hu, Yingyi & Yang, Mo, 2021. "Good volatility, bad volatility and economic uncertainty: Evidence from the crude oil futures market," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
  18. Haochuan Wu & Chi Gong, 2025. "Modeling the Ningbo Container Freight Index Through Deep Learning: Toward Sustainable Shipping and Regional Economic Resilience," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(10), pages 1-21, May.
  19. Li, Tao & Ma, Feng & Zhang, Xuehua & Zhang, Yaojie, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty and the Chinese stock market volatility: Novel evidence," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 24-33.
  20. Urom, Christian & Ndubuisi, Gideon & Ozor, Jude, 2021. "Economic activity, and financial and commodity markets’ shocks: An analysis of implied volatility indexes," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 51-66.
  21. Shimeng Shi, 2022. "Bitcoin futures risk premia," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(12), pages 2190-2217, December.
  22. Ghani, Maria & Guo, Qiang & Ma, Feng & Li, Tao, 2022. "Forecasting Pakistan stock market volatility: Evidence from economic variables and the uncertainty index," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1180-1189.
  23. Chen, Xiangyu & Tongurai, Jittima, 2023. "Which liquidity indicator is more informative to market volatility? Spectrum analysis of China’s base metal futures market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
  24. Xiangyu Chen & Jittima Tongurai, 2021. "The Relationship Between China’s Real Estate Market and Industrial Metals Futures Market: Evidence from Non-price Measures of the Real Estate Market," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 28(4), pages 527-561, December.
  25. Lyu, Yongjian & Yi, Heling & Wei, Yu & Yang, Mo, 2021. "Revisiting the role of economic uncertainty in oil price fluctuations: Evidence from a new time-varying oil market model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
  26. Aktham Maghyereh & Hussein Abdoh, 2022. "Can news-based economic sentiment predict bubbles in precious metal markets?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-29, December.
  27. Yun‐Shi Dai & Peng‐Fei Dai & Wei‐Xing Zhou, 2025. "Geopolitical Risk and the Volatility of the International Grain Futures Market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 45(10), pages 1757-1794, October.
  28. Su, Miao & Nie, Yufei & Li, Jiankun & Yang, Lin & Kim, Woohyoung, 2024. "Futures markets and the baltic dry index: A prediction study based on deep learning," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
  29. Su, Zhenqing & Li, Jiankun & Pang, Qiwei & Su, Miao, 2025. "China futures market and world container shipping economy: An exploratory analysis based on deep learning," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
  30. Gong, Xu & Xu, Jun, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and dynamic connectedness between commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
  31. Ma, Richie Ruchuan & Xiong, Tao, 2021. "Price explosiveness in nonferrous metal futures markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 75-90.
  32. Xiangyu Chen & Jittima Tongurai & Pattana Boonchoo, 2024. "Revisiting China’s Commodity Futures Market Amid the Main Waves of COVID-19 Pandemics," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 31(4), pages 1035-1063, December.
  33. Li, Lu & Li, Degao & Liu, Li & Tang, Linjun, 2025. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall using penalized quantile regressions with mixed-frequency data," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  34. Lu, Xinjie & Su, Yuandong & Huang, Dengshi, 2023. "Chinese agricultural futures volatility: New insights from potential domestic and global predictors," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
  35. Shital Jhunjhunwala & Sandra Suresh, 2024. "Commodity and Stock Market Interlinkages: Opportunities and Challenges for Investors in Indian Market," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 25(2_suppl), pages 42-58, April.
  36. Najaf Iqbal & Elie Bouri & Oksana Grebinevych & David Roubaud, 2023. "Modelling extreme risk spillovers in the commodity markets around crisis periods including COVID19," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 330(1), pages 305-334, November.
  37. Dinh, Theu & Goutte, Stéphane & Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Walther, Thomas, 2022. "Economic drivers of volatility and correlation in precious metal markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
  38. Rupel Nargunam & William W. S. Wei & N. Anuradha, 2021. "Investigating seasonality, policy intervention and forecasting in the Indian gold futures market: a comparison based on modeling non-constant variance using two different methods," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-15, December.
  39. Bouri, Elie & Lucey, Brian & Saeed, Tareq & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021. "The realized volatility of commodity futures: Interconnectedness and determinants#," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 139-151.
  40. Lu, Man & Yin, Libo & Chen, Fengwen, 2025. "How does macroeconomic uncertainty influence energy futures?: Evidence from extraordinary events," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
  41. Wei, Jiangqiao & Ma, Zhe & Wang, Anjian & Li, Pengyuan & Sun, Xiaoyan & Yuan, Xiaojing & Hao, Hongchang & Jia, Hongxiang, 2022. "Multiscale nonlinear Granger causality and time-varying effect analysis of the relationship between iron ore futures and spot prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
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