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Electricity price forecasting on the day-ahead market using machine learning

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Mohammad Mahdi Forootan & Iman Larki & Rahim Zahedi & Abolfazl Ahmadi, 2022. "Machine Learning and Deep Learning in Energy Systems: A Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-49, April.
  2. Hasnain Iftikhar & Josue E. Turpo-Chaparro & Paulo Canas Rodrigues & Javier Linkolk López-Gonzales, 2023. "Forecasting Day-Ahead Electricity Prices for the Italian Electricity Market Using a New Decomposition—Combination Technique," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(18), pages 1-23, September.
  3. Jan Niklas Buescher & Daria Gottwald & Florian Momm & Alexander Zureck, 2022. "Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic Crisis on the Efficiency of European Intraday Electricity Markets," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-21, May.
  4. Zhang, Yuerong & Kamargianni, Maria & Cheng, Long & De Vos, Jonas & Cao, Mengqiu, 2024. "Evaluating the accessibility of on-street household electric vehicle charging stations in London: Policy insights from equity analysis across emission zones," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
  5. Haapaniemi, Jouni & Haakana, Juha & Räisänen, Otto & Tikka, Ville & Lassila, Jukka & Rautiainen, Antti, 2025. "Quantification of implicit price flexibility of household customers’ load demand with machine learning and Shapley analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 332(C).
  6. Wang, Guanghao & Sbai, Erwann & Sheng, Mingyue Selena & Tao, Miaomiao, 2025. "News sentiment, climate conditions, and New Zealand electricity market: A real-time bidding policy perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 318(C).
  7. Loizidis, Stylianos & Kyprianou, Andreas & Georghiou, George E., 2024. "Electricity market price forecasting using ELM and Bootstrap analysis: A case study of the German and Finnish Day-Ahead markets," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 363(C).
  8. Karol Pilot & Alicja Ganczarek-Gamrot & Krzysztof Kania, 2024. "Dealing with Anomalies in Day-Ahead Market Prediction Using Machine Learning Hybrid Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(17), pages 1-20, September.
  9. Bendiksen, Vidar & Løining, Lars Olai Fjellestad & Lyócsa, Štefan, 2025. "Cross-border and cross-regional electricity transmission: Is there a price impact in south Norway?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
  10. Mao, Xuehui & Chen, Shanlin & Yu, Hanxin & Duan, Liwu & He, Yingjie & Chu, Yinghao, 2025. "Simplicity in dynamic and competitive electricity markets: A case study on enhanced linear models versus complex deep-learning models for day-ahead electricity price forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 383(C).
  11. Özcan, Abdullah Veli & Erel-Özçevik, Müge & Karaman, Bilal & Baştürk, İlhan & Zeydan, Engin & Taşkın, Sezai & Çetinkaya, Ümit, 2025. "Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices for the electricity market with dynamic time period," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 338(C).
  12. Mascarenhas, Maria Margarida & De Blauwe, Jilles & Amelin, Mikael & Kazmi, Hussain, 2026. "Leveraging asynchronous cross-border market data for improved day-ahead electricity price forecasting in European markets," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 404(C).
  13. Negri, Simone & Giani, Federico & Blasuttigh, Nicola & Massi Pavan, Alessandro & Mellit, Adel & Tironi, Enrico, 2022. "Combined model predictive control and ANN-based forecasters for jointly acting renewable self-consumers: An environmental and economical evaluation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 198(C), pages 440-454.
  14. Paweł Pijarski & Adrian Belowski, 2024. "Application of Methods Based on Artificial Intelligence and Optimisation in Power Engineering—Introduction to the Special Issue," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(2), pages 1-42, January.
  15. Thomas K. Kloster, 2025. "An Ambit Field Framework for the Full Panel of Day-ahead Electricity Prices," Papers 2509.17236, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2026.
  16. Xu, Gaoyuan & Shi, Jian & Wu, Jiaman & Lu, Chenbei & Wu, Chenye & Wang, Dan & Han, Zhu, 2024. "An optimal solutions-guided deep reinforcement learning approach for online energy storage control," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 361(C).
  17. Daniel Manfre Jaimes & Manuel Zamudio López & Hamidreza Zareipour & Mike Quashie, 2023. "A Hybrid Model for Multi-Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting considering Price Spikes," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-23, July.
  18. Sun-Feel Yang & So-Won Choi & Eul-Bum Lee, 2023. "A Prediction Model for Spot LNG Prices Based on Machine Learning Algorithms to Reduce Fluctuation Risks in Purchasing Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(11), pages 1-39, May.
  19. Castello, Oleksandr & Resta, Marina, 2025. "Univariate and multivariate forecasting of the electricity futures curve using Dynamic Recurrent Neural Networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 394(C).
  20. Siti Rosilah Arsad & Muhamad Haziq Hasnul Hadi & Nayli Aliah Mohd Afandi & Pin Jern Ker & Shirley Gee Hoon Tang & Madihah Mohd Afzal & Santhi Ramanathan & Chai Phing Chen & Prajindra Sankar Krishnan &, 2023. "The Impact of COVID-19 on the Energy Sector and the Role of AI: An Analytical Review on Pre- to Post-Pandemic Perspectives," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(18), pages 1-31, September.
  21. Huang, Siwan & Shi, Jianheng & Wang, Baoyue & An, Na & Li, Li & Hou, Xuebing & Wang, Chunsen & Zhang, Xiandong & Wang, Kai & Li, Huilin & Zhang, Sui & Zhong, Ming, 2024. "A hybrid framework for day-ahead electricity spot-price forecasting: A case study in China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 373(C).
  22. Han, Dongho & Heo, Seongmin, 2025. "End-effect mitigation in renewable energy systems with energy storage using value function approximation of terminal energy level," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 401(PC).
  23. Anas Abuzayed, 2025. "From model optimality to market reality: do electricity markets support renewable investments?," Working Papers EPRG2521, Energy Policy Research Group, Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge.
  24. Albani, V.V.L. & Marcavillaca, R.T. & Moreira, P.S.E. & Avila, S.L. & Geremia, M. & Piovezan, R.P.B. & Sica, E.T. & Santos, E., 2025. "Short-term forecasting of forward prices in the Brazilian electricity market with a hybrid stochastic-neural network model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
  25. van Zyl, Corne & Ye, Xianming & Naidoo, Raj, 2024. "Harnessing eXplainable artificial intelligence for feature selection in time series energy forecasting: A comparative analysis of Grad-CAM and SHAP," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 353(PA).
  26. Deniz Kenan Kılıç & Peter Nielsen & Amila Thibbotuwawa, 2024. "Intraday Electricity Price Forecasting via LSTM and Trading Strategy for the Power Market: A Case Study of the West Denmark DK1 Grid Region," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(12), pages 1-15, June.
  27. Brusaferri, Alessandro & Ballarino, Andrea & Grossi, Luigi & Laurini, Fabrizio, 2025. "On-line conformalized neural networks ensembles for probabilistic forecasting of day-ahead electricity prices," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 398(C).
  28. Chai, Shanglei & Li, Qiang & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Lucey, Brian M., 2024. "Forecasting electricity prices from the state-of-the-art modeling technology and the price determinant perspectives," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PA).
  29. Runyao Yu & Derek W. Bunn & Julia Lin & Jochen Stiasny & Fabian Leimgruber & Tara Esterl & Yuchen Tao & Lianlian Qi & Yujie Chen & Wentao Wang & Jochen L. Cremer, 2026. "Deep Learning for Electricity Price Forecasting: A Review of Day-Ahead, Intraday, and Balancing Electricity Markets," Papers 2602.10071, arXiv.org, revised May 2026.
  30. Wu, Han & Du, Pei, 2024. "Dual-stream transformer-attention fusion network for short-term carbon price prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 311(C).
  31. Wu, Han & Liang, Yan & Gao, Xiao-Zhi & Du, Pei, 2024. "Auditory-circuit-motivated deep network with application to short-term electricity price forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
  32. Hilger, Hannes & Witthaut, Dirk & Dahmen, Manuel & Rydin Gorjão, Leonardo & Trebbien, Julius & Cramer, Eike, 2024. "Multivariate scenario generation of day-ahead electricity prices using normalizing flows," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 367(C).
  33. Cao, Hui & Lin, Jiajing & Li, Nan, 2023. "Optimal control and energy efficiency evaluation of district ice storage system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 276(C).
  34. Belenguer, E. & Segarra-Tamarit, J. & Pérez, E. & Vidal-Albalate, R., 2025. "Short-term electricity price forecasting through demand and renewable generation prediction," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 229(C), pages 350-361.
  35. Abuzayed, A., 2025. "From Model Optimality to Market Reality: Do Electricity Markets Support Renewable Investments?," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2558, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  36. Yao, Qiuxiang & Wang, Linyang & Ma, Mingming & Ma, Li & He, Lei & Ma, Duo & Sun, Ming, 2024. "A quantitative investigation on pyrolysis behaviors of metal ion-exchanged coal macerals by interpretable machine learning algorithms," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 300(C).
  37. Pablo Alejandro Mendez-Santos & Nathalia Alexandra Chacón-Reino & Luis Fernando Guerrero-Vásquez & Jorge Osmani Ordoñez-Ordoñez & Paul Andrés Chasi-Pesantez, 2025. "Estimation and Forecasting of the Average Unit Cost of Energy Supply in a Distribution System Using Multiple Linear Regression and ARIMAX Modeling in Ecuador," Energies, MDPI, vol. 18(14), pages 1-33, July.
  38. Jiayun Wang & Alessio Trivella & Daniela Guericke & Devrim Murat Yazan, 2025. "An Optimization Framework for Managing Resource Flows in Hubs for Circularity," Circular Economy and Sustainability, Springer, vol. 5(5), pages 3909-3938, October.
  39. Zhang, Xiaokong & Chai, Jian & Tian, Lingyue & Yang, Ying & Zhang, Zhe George & Pan, Yue, 2023. "Forecast and structural characteristics of China's oil product consumption embedded in bottom-line thinking," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(PA).
  40. Mirza, Nawazish & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Naqvi, Bushra & Umar, Muhammad, 2024. "Inflation prediction in emerging economies: Machine learning and FX reserves integration for enhanced forecasting," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
  41. Aliyon, Kasra & Ritvanen, Jouni, 2024. "Deep learning-based electricity price forecasting: Findings on price predictability and European electricity markets," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 308(C).
  42. Mohammed Jasim M. Al Essa, 2025. "A review on price-driven energy management systems and demand response programs in smart grids," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 45(1), pages 1-22, March.
  43. Ciaran O’Connor & Mohamed Bahloul & Steven Prestwich & Andrea Visentin, 2025. "A Review of Electricity Price Forecasting Models in the Day-Ahead, Intra-Day, and Balancing Markets," Energies, MDPI, vol. 18(12), pages 1-40, June.
  44. Liebensteiner, Mario & Ocker, Fabian & Abuzayed, Anas, 2025. "High electricity price despite expansion in renewables: How market trends shape Germany’s power market in the coming years," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
  45. Shadi Tehrani & Jesús Juan & Eduardo Caro, 2022. "Electricity Spot Price Modeling and Forecasting in European Markets," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(16), pages 1-23, August.
  46. Madadkhani, Shiva & Ikonnikova, Svetlana, 2024. "Toward high-resolution projection of electricity prices: A machine learning approach to quantifying the effects of high fuel and CO2 prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
  47. Houben, Nikolaus & Cosic, Armin & Stadler, Michael & Mansoor, Muhammad & Zellinger, Michael & Auer, Hans & Ajanovic, Amela & Haas, Reinhard, 2023. "Optimal dispatch of a multi-energy system microgrid under uncertainty: A renewable energy community in Austria," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 337(C).
  48. Adela Bâra & Simona-Vasilica Oprea & Bogdan George Tudorică, 2024. "From the East-European Regional Day-Ahead Markets to a Global Electricity Market," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(6), pages 2525-2557, June.
  49. Chibuike Chiedozie Ibebuchi, 2025. "Day-Ahead Energy Price Forecasting with Machine Learning: Role of Endogenous Predictors," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-16, April.
  50. Aliyon, Kasra & Rajaee, Fatemeh & Ritvanen, Jouni, 2023. "Use of artificial intelligence in reducing energy costs of a post-combustion carbon capture plant," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(PA).
  51. Sai, Wei & Pan, Zehua & Liu, Siyu & Jiao, Zhenjun & Zhong, Zheng & Miao, Bin & Chan, Siew Hwa, 2023. "Event-driven forecasting of wholesale electricity price and frequency regulation price using machine learning algorithms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 352(C).
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