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The Evolution of Stock Market Efficiency in the US: A Non-Bayesian Time-Varying Model Approach

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Grossman, Richard & Campbell, Gareth & Turner, John, 2019. "Before the Cult of Equity: New Monthly Indices of the British Share Market, 1829-1929," CEPR Discussion Papers 13717, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
  2. Madhur Bhatia, 2024. "Impact of the Local and the Global Crises on Stock Market Efficiency," Millennial Asia, , vol. 15(4), pages 572-596, December.
  3. Jiang, Jinjin & Li, Haiqi, 2020. "A new measure for market efficiency and its application," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
  4. Al-Shboul, Mohammad & Alsharari, Nizar, 2019. "The dynamic behavior of evolving efficiency: Evidence from the UAE stock markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 119-135.
  5. Siddique, Maryam, 2023. "Does the Adaptive Market Hypothesis Exist in Equity Market? Evidence from Pakistan Stock Exchange," OSF Preprints 9b5dx, Center for Open Science.
  6. Shah, Anand & Bahri, Anu, 2022. "Metanomics: Adaptive market and volatility behaviour in Metaverse," MPRA Paper 114442, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  7. Grossman, Richard, 2017. "Stocks for the Long Run: New Monthly Indices of British Equities, 1869-1929," CEPR Discussion Papers 12121, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
  8. Zhenghui Li & Zhongxiu Chen & Zhehao Huang, 2026. "Modelling the data-generating mechanism of China’s commodity market by identifying hidden information flow regimes," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 12(1), pages 1-28, December.
  9. Mohamed Malek Belhoula & Walid Mensi & Kamel Naoui, 2024. "Impacts of investor's sentiment, uncertainty indexes, and macroeconomic factors on the dynamic efficiency of G7 stock markets," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 2855-2886, June.
  10. Mikio Ito & Kiyotaka Maeda & Akihiko Noda, 2018. "The futures premium and rice market efficiency in prewar Japan," Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 71(3), pages 909-937, August.
  11. Michael Anthony Adams, 2020. "Fiscal Policy and Stock Market Efficiency in the USA: An ARDL Bounds Testing Approach," Journal of Accounting, Business and Finance Research, Scientific Publishing Institute, vol. 9(2), pages 73-81.
  12. Dzung Phan Tran Trung & Hung Pham Quang, 2019. "Adaptive Market Hypothesis: Evidence from the Vietnamese Stock Market," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-16, May.
  13. Diana Saldanha & T. Mallikarjunappa & Kofi Mintah Oware, 2025. "Determinants of Adaptive Behaviour in Stock Market: A Review," Vision, , vol. 29(1), pages 112-124, February.
  14. Askari, Abolfazl & Hajizadeh, Ehsan, 2024. "Exploring market efficiency levels: A powerful approach based on a gamma distribution," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
  15. Oktay Ozkan, 2020. "Time-varying return predictability and adaptive markets hypothesis: Evidence on MIST countries from a novel wild bootstrap likelihood ratio approach," Bogazici Journal, Review of Social, Economic and Administrative Studies, Bogazici University, Department of Economics, vol. 34(2), pages 101-113.
  16. Ke Meng & Shouhao Li, 2021. "The adaptive market hypothesis and high frequency trading," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(12), pages 1-19, December.
  17. Maria Kulikova & Gennady Kulikov, 2023. "Estimation of market efficiency process within time-varying autoregressive models by extended Kalman filtering approach," Papers 2310.04125, arXiv.org.
  18. Taylor, Nick, 2014. "The rise and fall of technical trading rule success," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 286-302.
  19. Khaled Mokni & Ghassen El Montasser & Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Elie Bouri, 2025. "On the Efficiency and Its Drivers in the Cryptocurrency Market: The Case of Bitcoin and Ethereum," Springer Books, in: Gang Kou & Yongqiang Li & Zongyi Zhang & J. Leon Zhao & Zhi Zhuo (ed.), Blockchain, Crypto Assets, and Financial Innovation, pages 162-191, Springer.
  20. Tahmina Akhter & Othman Yong, 2021. "Can Adaptive Market Hypothesis Explain the Existence of Seasonal Anomalies? Evidence from Dhaka Stock Exchange, Bangladesh," Contemporary Economics, Vizja University, vol. 15(2), April.
  21. Ali Fayyaz Munir & Mohd Edil Abd. Sukor & Shahrin Saaid Shaharuddin, 2022. "Adaptive Market Hypothesis and Time-varying Contrarian Effect: Evidence From Emerging Stock Markets of South Asia," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(1), pages 21582440211, January.
  22. Tran, Vu Le & Leirvik, Thomas, 2020. "Efficiency in the markets of crypto-currencies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
  23. Ashok Chanabasangouda Patil & Shailesh Rastogi, 2019. "Time-Varying Price–Volume Relationship and Adaptive Market Efficiency: A Survey of the Empirical Literature," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-18, June.
  24. Acikgoz, Turker, 2025. "Globalization and stock market efficiency," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 85(PC).
  25. Ito, Mikio & Maeda, Kiyotaka & Noda, Akihiko, 2016. "Market efficiency and government interventions in prewar Japanese rice futures markets," Financial History Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(3), pages 325-346, December.
  26. Rahman, Md. Lutfur & Lee, Doowon & Shamsuddin, Abul, 2017. "Time-varying return predictability in South Asian equity markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 179-200.
  27. Kalugala Vidanalage Aruna Shantha, 2019. "Individual Investors’ Learning Behavior and Its Impact on Their Herd Bias: An Integrated Analysis in the Context of Stock Trading," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-24, March.
  28. Pınar Evrim Mandacı & F. Dilvin Taskın & Zeliha Can Ergun, 2019. "Adaptive Market Hypothesis," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(4), pages 84-101.
  29. Noda, Akihiko, 2016. "A test of the adaptive market hypothesis using a time-varying AR model in Japan," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 17(C), pages 66-71.
  30. Charfeddine, Lanouar & Khediri, Karim Ben & Aye, Goodness C. & Gupta, Rangan, 2018. "Time-varying efficiency of developed and emerging bond markets: Evidence from long-spans of historical data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 505(C), pages 632-647.
  31. Mikio Ito & Akihiko Noda & Tatsuma Wada, 2022. "An Alternative Estimation Method for Time-Varying Parameter Models," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-27, April.
  32. Tran, Vu Le & Leirvik, Thomas, 2019. "A simple but powerful measure of market efficiency," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 141-151.
  33. Mikio Ito & Kiyotaka Maeda & Akihiko Noda, 2017. "Discretion versus Policy Rules in Futures Markets: A Case of the Osaka-Dojima Rice Exchange, 1914-1939," Papers 1704.00985, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2018.
  34. Askari, Abolfazl & Hajizadeh, Ehsan, 2025. "A novel method for analyzing financial market efficiency through fuzzy set theory," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  35. Masoud Ataei, 2025. "Multiscale Causal Analysis of Market Efficiency via News Uncertainty Networks and the Financial Chaos Index," Papers 2505.01543, arXiv.org.
  36. Urquhart, Andrew & McGroarty, Frank, 2016. "Are stock markets really efficient? Evidence of the adaptive market hypothesis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 39-49.
  37. Koichiro Moriya & Akihiko Noda, 2023. "On the Time-Varying Structure of the Arbitrage Pricing Theory using the Japanese Sector Indices," Papers 2305.05998, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2024.
  38. Yuxin Pang & Dehui Wang, 2024. "A New Random Coefficient Autoregressive Model Driven by an Unobservable State Variable," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(24), pages 1-16, December.
  39. Nevi Danila, 2022. "Random Walk of Socially Responsible Investment in Emerging Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-13, September.
  40. Deniz Erer & Elif Erer & Selim Güngör, 2023. "The aggregate and sectoral time-varying market efficiency during crisis periods in Turkey: a comparative analysis with COVID-19 outbreak and the global financial crisis," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-25, December.
  41. Vasile Brătian & Ana-Maria Acu & Camelia Oprean-Stan & Emil Dinga & Gabriela-Mariana Ionescu, 2021. "Efficient or Fractal Market Hypothesis? A Stock Indexes Modelling Using Geometric Brownian Motion and Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(22), pages 1-20, November.
  42. Adefemi A. Obalade & Paul-Francois Muzindutsi, 2021. "Are African Stock Markets Inefficient or Adaptive? Empirical Literature," Chapters, in: Vito Bobek & Chee-Heong Quah (ed.), Emerging Markets, IntechOpen.
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