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Dynamic efficiency and price leadership in the DAX-future and the DAX cash market: An empirical investigation

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  • Merz, Frederic

Abstract

This paper provides results of an empirical study, adressing both the question of the efficiency of the DAX-fFuture market concerning its risk transfer function and the question of price leadership. For determining the pricing relationship between the futures and the cash market, co-integration analysis and nonlinear least squares estimation methods are applied. Results indicate that the pricing relationship is closely related to the cost-of-carry model and co-integrated. It will be shown that the cash market leads the futures market.

Suggested Citation

  • Merz, Frederic, 1994. "Dynamic efficiency and price leadership in the DAX-future and the DAX cash market: An empirical investigation," Tübinger Diskussionsbeiträge 36, University of Tübingen, School of Business and Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:tuedps:36
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    1. William J. Crowder & Anas Hamed, 1993. "A cointegration test for oil futures market efficiency," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 13(8), pages 933-941, December.
    2. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    3. Banerjee, Anindya & Dolado, Juan J. & Galbraith, John W. & Hendry, David, 1993. "Co-integration, Error Correction, and the Econometric Analysis of Non-Stationary Data," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198288107.
    4. Cornell, Bradford & French, Kenneth R, 1983. "Taxes and the Pricing of Stock Index Futures," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 38(3), pages 675-694, June.
    5. Bradford Cornell & Kenneth R. French, 1983. "The pricing of stock index futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 3(1), pages 1-14, March.
    6. Cox, John C. & Ingersoll, Jonathan Jr. & Ross, Stephen A., 1981. "The relation between forward prices and futures prices," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 321-346, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Kempf, Alexander & Korn, Olaf, 1995. "Der Einfluß von Arbitrageuren auf die Preisführerschaft von Finanzmärkten," ZEW Discussion Papers 95-02, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.

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