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Macroeconomic imbalances evolution and their effect on bank intermediation cost in Kenya

Author

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  • Ndwiga, David
  • Makunda, Geraldine

Abstract

The study investigates the effects of macro imbalances on the banking sector performance in Kenya from the financial intermediation cost perspective for 2020q4 - 2024q1 period. Employing dynamic panel GMM model, the study finds that inflation pressures above the upper bound target, external debt unsustainability, monetary policy tightening and current account deficit to GDP ratio lead to increase in the intermediation cost. The findings call for need to anchor the inflation rate below the upper bound target, exercise prudence fiscal measures, effective application of the monetary policy instruments and development of a matrix of interlinkages between the macro imbalances.

Suggested Citation

  • Ndwiga, David & Makunda, Geraldine, 2025. "Macroeconomic imbalances evolution and their effect on bank intermediation cost in Kenya," KBA Centre for Research on Financial Markets and Policy Working Paper Series 93, Kenya Bankers Association (KBA).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:kbawps:316419
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chiu, Jonathan & Meh, Césaire A., 2011. "Financial Intermediation, Liquidity, And Inflation," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 15(S1), pages 83-118, April.
    2. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2005_013 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Syed Moudud-Ul-Huq, 2021. "The Impact of Business Cycle on Banks’ Capital Buffer, Risk and Efficiency: A Dynamic GMM Approach from a Developing Economy," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 22(4), pages 921-940, August.
    4. Baglioni, Angelo & Cherubini, Umberto, 2013. "Marking-to-market government guarantees to financial systems – Theory and evidence for Europe," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 990-1007.
    5. Pesola, Jarmo, 2005. "Banking fragility and distress: an econometric study of macroeconomic determinants," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 13/2005, Bank of Finland.
    6. Vazquez, Francisco & Tabak, Benjamin M. & Souto, Marcos, 2012. "A macro stress test model of credit risk for the Brazilian banking sector," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 8(2), pages 69-83.
    7. Pesola, Jarmo, 2005. "Banking fragility and distress : an econometric study of macroeconomic determinants," Research Discussion Papers 13/2005, Bank of Finland.
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