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The Impact of Paid Paternity Leave Reforms on Divorce Rates in Europe

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  • Morales, Marina

Abstract

Using a panel dataset covering 27 European countries over a 53-year period, this study examines the relationship between paid paternity leave reforms and divorce rates. Controlling for policyrelated factors and other legislative changes affecting divorce, the dynamic analysis reveals that while the introduction of any paid paternity leave is initially associated with higher divorce rates, the effect becomes negative when focusing on policies offering 2 weeks or more of leave. The decrease in divorce rates becomes more significant as the length of leave increases and grows over time. Specifically, providing fathers with at least 2 weeks of paid leave after childbirth reduces divorce rates by 0.36 percentage points 15 years after implementation. Additional analyses of the underlying mechanisms suggest that, in the absence of extended paternity leave, the results are likely driven by improved labor market opportunities for women-a factor that may unintentionally increase the likelihood of divorce.

Suggested Citation

  • Morales, Marina, 2025. "The Impact of Paid Paternity Leave Reforms on Divorce Rates in Europe," GLO Discussion Paper Series 1659, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:glodps:1659
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Claudia Olivetti & Barbara Petrongolo, 2017. "The Economic Consequences of Family Policies: Lessons from a Century of Legislation," Working Papers 811, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    2. Claudia Olivetti & Barbara Petrongolo, 2017. "The Economic Consequences of Family Policies: Lessons from a Century of Legislation in High-Income Countries," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 31(1), pages 205-230, Winter.
    3. González-Val, Rafael & Marcén, Miriam, 2012. "Unilateral divorce versus child custody and child support in the U.S," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 81(2), pages 613-643.
    4. Claudia Olivetti & Barbara Petrongolo, 2018. "Economic consequences of family policies," CentrePiece - The magazine for economic performance 533, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    5. Mari Rege & Ingeborg Solli, 2013. "The Impact of Paternity Leave on Fathers’ Future Earnings," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 50(6), pages 2255-2277, December.
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • J48 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - Particular Labor Markets; Public Policy
    • J12 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Marriage; Marital Dissolution; Family Structure
    • J16 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of Gender; Non-labor Discrimination

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